By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil is trading at 84.39 up .80 cents. With the global slowdown becoming more evident and production levels remaining still high to offset possible supply disruption as the oil embargo moves to full swing. The small move up today, can be accounted for by the drop in the US Dollar Index. As the dollar falls, cheap oil becomes more attractive to foreign investors.

Crude oil declined in the international market with Brent crude oil falling to a fresh 16 month low. Brent crude oil fell below $95 a barrel earlier today. Amid worries over persisting Euro Zone debt, investors would be zealously looking out for outcome of the ongoing talks between Iran and world powers. Meanwhile, crude oil inventories are seen falling for the third consecutive week. EIA is scheduled to release its weekly inventory report tomorrow.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data June 19, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 19

AUD

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

GBP

Core CPI (YoY)

2.2%

2.3%

2.1%

GBP

CPI (YoY)

2.8%

3.0%

3.0%

GBP

CPI (MoM)

-0.1%

0.1%

0.6%

EUR

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

-16.9

4.0

10.8

EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment

-20.1

-5.7

-2.4

USD

Building Permits

0.780M

0.728M

0.723M

USD

Housing Starts

0.708M

0.720M

0.744M

CAD

Wholesale Sales (MoM)

1.5%

1.0%

0.3%

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun 20

6:00

EUR

German PPI m/m

0.2%

8:30

GBP

Claimant Count Change

-13.7K

8:30

GBP

MPC Meeting Minutes

0-0-9

0-0-9

8:30

GBP

Unemployment Rate

8.2%

9:00

CHF

ZEW Economic Expectations

-4.0

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-0.2M

16:30

USD

FOMC Statement

16:30

USD

Federal Funds Rate

18:00

USD

FOMC Economic Projections

18:15

USD

FOMC Press Conference

Jun 21

6:00

CHF

Trade Balance

1.33B

7:00

EUR

French Flash Manufacturing PMI

44.7

7:00

EUR

French Flash Services PMI

45.1

7:15

CHF

Industrial Production q/q

7.9%

7:30

EUR

German Flash Manufacturing PMI

45.2

7:30

EUR

German Flash Services PMI

51.8

8:00

EUR

Current Account

9.1B

8:00

EUR

Flash Manufacturing PMI

45.1

8:00

EUR

Flash Services PMI

46.7

8:30

GBP

Retail Sales m/m

-2.3%

10:00

GBP

CBI Industrial Order Expectations

-17

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

386K

13:00

USD

Flash Manufacturing PMI

54.0

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.62M

14:00

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

-5.8

Jun 22

8:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate

106.9

All Day

EUR

ECOFIN Meetings

13:00

EUR

Belgium NBB Business Climate

-11.2

Click here for further Crude Oil Forecast.

Originally posted here