By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil is trading at 94.53 down 0.25 in today’s session. U.S. crude prices dropped towards $94 a barrel on Tuesday, pressured by concerns that Europe would slip into a worse-than-expected recession. NYMEX crude for June slipped 63 cents to $94.15 a barrel by, after falling more than a dollar the previous session. The euro fell to a nearly four-month low against the dollar on Monday on fears Greece could exit the euro and worries that weak industrial data signaled that Europe was heading for recession.

High oil prices are threatening the global economic recovery, the Executive Director of the International Energy Agency Maria van der Hoeven said in a report.

Crude oil pared the earlier losses and was seen rebounding though it continued to hover near the five month low levels in Nymex. However, expectation of higher build up in crude oil inventories may keep the gains under check.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which cover the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins.

Economic Reports May 15, 2012 actual v. forecast

EUR

French CPI (MoM)

0.1%

0.3%

0.8%

EUR

French GDP (QoQ)

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

EUR

German GDP (QoQ)

0.5%

0.1%

-0.2%

EUR

German GDP (YoY)

1.7%

0.8%

1.5%

EUR

French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ)

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.1%

GBP

Trade Balance

-8.6B

-8.4B

-8.6B

EUR

GDP (QoQ)

0.0%

-0.2%

-0.3%

EUR

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

10.8

19.0

23.4

EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment

-2.4

11.7

13.1

USD

Core CPI (MoM)

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

USD

Core Retail Sales (MoM)

0.1%

0.2%

0.8%

USD

CPI (MoM)

0.0%

0.1%

0.3%

USD

Retail Sales (MoM)

0.1%

0.2%

0.7%

USD

NY Empire State MFG Index

17.1

8.5

6.6

USD

CPI (YoY)

2.3%

2.3%

2.7%

USD

Core CPI (YoY)

2.3%

2.3%

2.3%

USD

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

36.2B

19.4B

10.1B

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

May 16

09:30

GBP

Average Earnings Index +Bonus

1.0%

1.1%

09:30

GBP

Claimant Count Change

5.0K

3.6K

10:00

EUR

CPI (YoY)

2.6%

2.6%

10:00

EUR

Core CPI (YoY)

1.5%

1.6%

10:30

GBP

BoE Inflation Report

10:30

GBP

BoE Gov King Speaks

10:30

EUR

German 10-Year Bund Auction

1.770%

11:00

EUR

Portuguese Unemployment Rate

14.00%

13:30

USD

Building Permits

0.730M

0.764M

13:30

USD

Housing Starts

0.680M

0.654M

14:15

USD

Industrial Production (MoM)

0.6%

0.0%

15:00

EUR

ECB President Draghi Speaks

19:00

USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

May 17

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

365K

367K

13:30

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims

3235K

3229K

15:00

USD

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

10.0

8.5

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

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Originally posted here