By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendations:
Crude Oil continues to decline falling by over 1.17 today to trade at 90.69.
Oil declined for a second day in New York after Iran agreed to grant access to United Nations nuclear inspectors and U.S. crude stockpiles increased. Futures slid as much as 1 percent. UN inspectors and Iran broke a five-year stalemate with a deal that gives the International Atomic Energy Agency access to the nation’s Parchin military complex, IAEA head Yukiya Amano said yesterday. Oil advanced in the first four months of this year on concern sanctions against Iran will disrupt supplies.
The agreement by Iran to let the inspectors in is a small step in potentially reducing the supply risk that feeds into the overall situation where demand is steady to somewhat soft against a background of more than adequate supplies.
Today the U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 0.9 million barrels from the previous week. At 382.5 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.
The contract slid 1.1 percent to $91.85 yesterday, the lowest close since May 18. The June future, which expired, fell 91 cents to $91.66. Front-month prices are 7.9 percent lower this year. Brent oil for July settlement dropped 71 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $107.70 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data for May 23, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Currency |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
May 23 |
JPY |
Trade Balance |
-0.48T |
-0.60T |
-0.62T |
|
JPY |
Interest Rate Decision |
0.10% |
0.10% |
0.10% |
|
|
GBP |
Retail Sales (MoM) |
-2.3% |
-0.8% |
2.0% |
|
|
GBP |
Retail Sales (YoY) |
-1.1% |
1.0% |
3.1% |
|
|
EUR |
Industrial New Orders (MoM) |
1.8% |
-0.1% |
-1.2% |
|
|
GBP |
CBI Industrial Trends Orders |
-17 |
-10 |
-8 |
|
|
Core Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.1% |
1.0% |
0.4% |
||
|
CAD |
Leading Indicators (MoM) |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
|
CAD |
Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.4% |
0.4% |
-0.2% |
|
|
USD |
New Home Sales |
343K |
335K |
332K |
WEEKLY
- This Week in Petroleum
Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule) - Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule) - Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
May 24 |
6:00 |
CHF |
1.69B |
|
|
7:00 |
EUR |
46.9 |
||
|
7:00 |
EUR |
45.2 |
||
|
7:30 |
EUR |
46.2 |
||
|
7:30 |
EUR |
52.2 |
||
|
8:00 |
EUR |
109.9 |
||
|
8:00 |
EUR |
45.9 |
||
|
8:00 |
EUR |
46.9 |
||
|
8:30 |
GBP |
1.8% |
||
|
8:30 |
GBP |
-0.2% |
||
|
8:30 |
GBP |
31.9K |
||
|
8:30 |
GBP |
-3.3% |
||
|
12:30 |
USD |
|||
|
12:30 |
USD |
-4.0% |
||
|
13:00 |
EUR |
-10.7 |
||
|
May 25 |
6:00 |
EUR |
5.6 |
|
|
7:15 |
CHF |
4.04M |
||
|
TBD |
ALL |
|||
|
13:55 |
USD |
Click here a current Crude Oil Chart.
Originally posted here
