While today felt strong as there were some nice gainers across the board, the close felt very forced and tired. Lacking new leaders and hardly any stocks hitting new highs I smell exhaustion. It seems that many smaller priced speculative stocks (FEED, APWR) are making parabolic moves and that can often be a sign of a market getting ahead of itself. I’m not saying we’re going to hit new lows right now, I just feel that a more extended move lower is needed and I’m sticking by my recent call that this market is weakening, not strengthening.

new highs

Divergences continue to widen on this chart. What appears to be a strong day on the surface has the TRIX moving still lower.

djia

On a weekly chart we have the TRIX turning lower and this generally signals a move lower coming, especially on the heels of a 30% monthly rally.

djia

 

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