By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/CHF continues to hold ground at 1.2012 locked in that same private battle. The two have barely moved outside of the limited range since early April. The SNB floor of 1.20 is the line in the sand.

The European Central Bank on Thursday left its main refi rate unchanged at 1%, as expected. Bank President Mario Draghi said the economic outlook remains subject to downside risks, tied in part to ongoing tensions in some sovereign debt markets. Draghi said the ECB will be on the lookout for signs. Draghi said there was “no contradiction” between euro-zone countries adopting a “growth compact” alongside a “fiscal compact.”

There was not much excitement in the eurozone today.

Economic Events for May 3, 2012 actual v. forecast

GBP

Nationwide HPI (MoM)

-0.2%

0.5%

-1.0%

TRY

Turkish CPI (MoM)

1.52%

1.18%

0.41%

GBP

Services PMI

53.3

54.6

55.3

EUR

Interest Rate Decision

1.00%

1.00%

1.00%

USD

Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ)

-0.5%

-0.5%

1.2%

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

365K

380K

392K

USD

Unit Labor Costs (QoQ)

2.0%

2.8%

2.7%

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims

3276K

3311K

3329K

Economic Events for May 4, 2012 for the European and US Markets

08:15 CHF Retail Sales 1.2% 0.8%

Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

10:00 EUR Retail Sales 0.3% -0.1%

Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

13:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls 170K 120K

Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Job creation is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity.

13:30 USD Unemployment Rate 8.2% 8.2%

The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.

Government Bond Auctions (this week)

Date Time Country

May 08 09:15 Austria

May 08 09:30 Belgium

May 08 14:30 UK

May 08 15:30 Italy

May 08 17:00 US

May 09 09:10 Sweden

May 09 09:30 Germany

May 09 09:30 Swiss

May 09 09:30 UK

May 09 14:30 Sweden

May 09 15:30 Italy

May 09 17:00 US

May 10 15:00 US

May 10 17:00 US

May 11 09:10 Italy BOT auction

May 11 10:00 Belgium

Click here to read EUR/CHF Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here