By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP fell on the weakness from the euro, trading at 0.8016.

The elation on the Spanish banking plan (if any) cooled further out in the session. So, EUR/GBP also reversed the initially gains and even dropped below Friday’s closing level. Overnight the pair came even near last week’s lows in the mid 0.80 area. There were few economic data in the UK with market moving potential. At a seminar, BoE’s Posen admitted that he was too optimistic on the UK economy when he halted his vote for more QE. So, he is likely to join the camp supporting more asset purchases at the July meeting. However, his comments had hardly any impact on sterling trading. The focus was on the euro side of the story.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data for June 12, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 12

GBP

RICS House Price Balance

-16%

-18%

-19%

JPY

Tertiary Industry Activity Index (MoM)

-0.3%

0.4%

-0.6%

JPY

BoJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks

AUD

NAB Business Confidence

-2

4

EUR

French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ)

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM)

0.0%

0.1%

-0.3%

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM)

-0.7%

-0.2%

0.9%

GBP

Industrial Production (YoY)

-1.0%

-1.0%

-2.6%

USD

Import Price Index (MoM)

-1.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

0.1%

-0.1%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun 13

7:15

CHF

PPI m/m

-0.1%

9:00

EUR

Industrial Production m/m

-0.3%

12:30

USD

PPI m/m

-0.2%

12:30

USD

Retail Sales m/m

0.1%

14:00

USD

Business Inventories m/m

0.3%

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-0.1M

Jun 14

7:30

CHF

Libor Rate

7:30

CHF

SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

7:30

CHF

SNB Press Conference

8:00

CHF

SNB Financial Stability Report

8:00

EUR

ECB Monthly Bulletin

9:00

EUR

CPI y/y

2.4%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

377K

12:30

USD

CPI m/m

0.0%

12:30

USD

Current Account

-124B

Jun 15

8:30

GBP

Trade Balance

-8.6B

12:30

USD

Empire State Manufacturing Index

17.1

13:00

USD

TIC Long-Term Purchases

36.2B

13:15

USD

Capacity Utilization Rate

79.2%

13:15

USD

Industrial Production m/m

1.1%

13:55

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

79.3

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jun 13 09:10 Italy

Jun 13 09:30 Germany

Jun 13 09:30 Swiss

Jun 13 17:00 US

Jun 14 09:10 Italy

Jun 14 09:30 UK

Jun 14 15:00 US

Jun 14 17:00 US

Click here for further EUR/GBP Forecast.

Originally posted here