By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP is changing hands at 0.8098 tumbling from the opening. The UK markets have been closed for the Queens Jubilee and have not traded since last week. The euro lost some of the momentum it had picked up since the drop in the DI. Today the greenback regained some lost momentum after a positive services ISM report.

The G7 emergency conference call to discuss the EU crisis, yielded little results and little in the way of news. Euro sentiment remains negative and seems to be growing on the bickering between politicians, bankers and the EU leadership.

Equities are mixed this morning with indices in France and Spain higher, but Germany’s DAX is off by under a percentage point and Dow futures are lower. Currency markets are generally seek the USD safe haven with most major crosses pushing lower except for the yen (itself a safe haven). US 10s are flat at 1.52%, so are Canadian 10s at a spread advantage of 15bps, and 10year bund yields have pushed a few basis points lower. Yields in Spain, Italy and Portugal are marginally higher. Commodities are broadly lower including small declines in oil and gold prices.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data for June 5, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 05

AUD

Current Account

-14.9B

-14.8B

-9.6B

AUD

Interest Rate Decision

3.50%

3.75%

3.75%

EUR

Retail Sales (MoM)

-1.0%

-0.1%

0.3%

EUR

German Factory Orders (MoM)

-1.9%

-1.0%

3.2%

CAD

Building Permits (MoM)

-5.2%

-2.0%

4.9%

CAD

Interest Rate Decision

1.00%

1.00%

1.00%

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

53.7

53.5

53.5

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun 6

8:30

GBP

Construction PMI

55.8

10:00

EUR

German Industrial Production m/m

2.8%

11:45

EUR

Minimum Bid Rate

1.00%

1.00%

12:30

EUR

ECB Press Conference

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

18:00

USD

Beige Book

23:01

GBP

BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y

-3.3%

Jun 7

7:00

CHF

Foreign Currency Reserves

235.6B

7:15

CHF

CPI m/m

0.1%

8:30

GBP

Services PMI

53.3

11:00

GBP

Asset Purchase Facility

325B

11:00

GBP

Official Bank Rate

0.50%

0.50%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

383K

14:00

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies

Jun 8

8:30

GBP

PPI Input m/m

-1.5%

8:30

GBP

Consumer Inflation Expectations

3.5%

12:30

USD

Trade Balance

-51.8B

14:00

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jun 06 09:30 Germany

Jun 06 09:30 Portugal

Jun 06 14:30 UK

Jun 07 00:30 Japan

Jun 07 08:30 Spain

Jun 07 08:50 France

Jun 07 09:10 Sweden

Jun 07 15:00 US

Jun 08 10:00 Belgium

Jun 08 15:30 Italy

Click here to read EUR/GBP Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here