By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/JPY is trading at 95.92 continuing to decline. After moving off a low earlier last week, to trade back near the 96.00 price level, the pair have once again begun to tumble, as the JPY remains strong in risk aversion mode and the euro continues to have weakness as investors and speculators are waiting to see if the ECB can deliver on their promises.

If the past dictates the future, we will witness market disappointment with lack of action. On June 29th the EU Ministers announced their big bank plan, which petered out. A few months prior they announced their fiscal union, which is on the back burner, on July 9th, Finance Ministers from the Eurogroup left their summit with no actual success or deliverance of prior promises. Now we will wait for the ECB and Draghi’s powerful tools.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks

Economic Data August 1, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Aug. 01

KRW

South Korean CPI (YoY)

1.5%

2.0%

2.2%

KRW

South Korean CPI (MoM)

-0.2%

0.3%

-0.1%

GBP

BRC Shop Price Index (YoY)

1.00%

1.10%

AUD

AIG Manufacturing Index

40.3

47.2

KRW

South Korean Trade Balance

2.70B

4.90B

KRW

South Korean Manufacturing PMI

47.20

49.38

CNY

Chinese Manufacturing PMI

50.10

50.30

50.20

AUD

House Price Index (QoQ)

0.50%

-0.50%

-0.10%

CNY

Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI

49.50

49.50

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Aug 2

1:30

AUD

Retail Sales m/m

0.5%

1:30

AUD

Trade Balance

-0.29B

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

14:00

USD

Factory Orders m/m

0.7%

23:30

AUD

AIG Services Index

48.8

Aug 3

12:30

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

80K

12:30

USD

Unemployment Rate

8.2%

12:30

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

0.3%

14:00

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

52.1

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Aug 02 08:30 Spain

Aug 06 09:10 Norway

Aug 07 00:30 Japan

Aug 07 09:15 Austria

Aug 07 14:30 UK

Aug 07 17:00 US

Aug 08 09:30 Germany

Aug 08 10:00 Norway

Aug 08 15:30 Italy

Aug 08 17:00 US

Aug 09 15:30 Italy

Aug 09 17:00 US

Aug 10 10:00 Belgium

Click here for further EUR/JPY Forecast.

Originally posted here