By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/USD continued to gather momentum on disappointing US eco data, moving up 0.0041 to trade at 1.2588.
Markets are relatively calm as upcoming event risk looms. Ranges in the last 12-hours have been notably small. The combination of the weekend Greek election, next week’s G20, the June 21 FinMin meeting and the end of month EU summit should together provide the market with a broad outline of whether authorities are moving towards a long-term plan for Europe (EUR positive) or if uncertainty will continue to loom (EUR negative). Spanish yields have jumped up to 7% however the EUR and most other currencies are relatively stable.
With the Greek elections just days away, most investors are positioning themselves based on their belief of the outcome of the election and the reaction of the EU.
Markets were a lot calmer before a slew of lackluster eco data was released in the US, supporting the theory of the spring stall, which we have witness in the 3 prior years, strong data through the 1st quarter and then the economy tanks.
Contagion from the EU is finding its way from China to the US, causing a global slowdown.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports
Economic Data June 14, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Time |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Jun. 14 |
05:30 |
Industrial Production (MoM) |
-0.2% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
08:30 |
Interest Rate Decision |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
|
08:30 |
SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan speaks |
||||
|
09:00 |
ECB Monthly Report |
||||
|
10:00 |
CPI (YoY) |
2.4% |
2.4% |
2.4% |
|
|
10:00 |
Core CPI (YoY) |
1.6% |
1.6% |
1.6% |
|
|
13:30 |
Core CPI (MoM) |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
|
13:30 |
CPI (MoM) |
-0.3% |
-0.2% |
0.0% |
|
|
13:30 |
Current Account |
-137.3B |
-132.3B |
-118.7B |
|
|
13:30 |
Initial Jobless Claims |
386K |
375K |
380K |
|
|
13:30 |
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3278K |
3269K |
3311K |
|
|
13:30 |
CPI (YoY) |
1.7% |
1.8% |
2.3% |
|
|
13:30 |
Core CPI (YoY) |
2.3% |
2.2% |
2.3% |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Previous |
|
Jun 15 |
8:30 |
GBP |
-8.6B |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
17.1 |
||
|
13:00 |
USD |
36.2B |
||
|
13:15 |
USD |
79.2% |
||
|
13:15 |
USD |
1.1% |
||
|
13:55 |
USD |
79.3 |
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Originally posted here
