By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/USD climbed in today’s session, as the euro is trading at 1.2711.

There was a more positive sentiment towards the EU today, after Greece announced the formation of a coalition government and the supportive steps announced by the G20 nations to build growth and protect the markets from contagion from the EU. Investors moved into more risk assets today.

Overall, movement in FX markets remains relatively limited ahead of today’s key FOMC events. Most other majors are flat from yesterday’s close, despite the release of market-moving data and central bank minutes in Japan and the UK. Yields in Spain have fallen, with the 10Y down below 7.0%, as have Italy’s, despite complaints from the Italian banking sector regarding their struggle to increase capital levels as their asset quality deteriorates. Additionally, rumors surrounding the use of European rescue funds continue to be rebuffed, despite pleas from Italy’s Monti, and even France’s Hollande.

Expect ongoing headline risk out of Europe given Friday’s events, as finance ministers prepare ahead of next week’s EU summit, and as Merkel, Monti, Hollande, and Rajoy meet to discuss their plan of action. However, economic data set for release tomorrow may renew concerns, given the importance that ECB President Draghi places on PMI’s and given that they have been deteriorating continually over the past few months.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports

Economic Data for June 20, 2012 actual. v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

JPY

Trade Balance

-0.66T

-0.36T

-0.51T

GBP

Average Earnings Index +Bonus

1.4%

0.8%

0.9%

GBP

Claimant Count Change

8.1K

-3.0K

-12.8K

USD

Interest Rate Decision

0.25%

0.25%

USD

FOMC Statement

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun 21

6:00

CHF

Trade Balance

1.33B

7:00

EUR

French Flash Manufacturing PMI

44.7

7:00

EUR

French Flash Services PMI

45.1

7:15

CHF

Industrial Production q/q

7.9%

7:30

EUR

German Flash Manufacturing PMI

45.2

7:30

EUR

German Flash Services PMI

51.8

8:00

EUR

Current Account

9.1B

8:00

EUR

Flash Manufacturing PMI

45.1

8:00

EUR

Flash Services PMI

46.7

8:30

GBP

Retail Sales m/m

-2.3%

10:00

GBP

CBI Industrial Order Expectations

-17

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

386K

13:00

USD

Flash Manufacturing PMI

54.0

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.62M

14:00

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

-5.8

Jun 22

8:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate

106.9

All Day

EUR

ECOFIN Meetings

13:00

EUR

Belgium NBB Business Climate

-11.2

Upcoming Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jun 21 08:30 Spain

Jun 21 08:50 France

Jun 21 09:30 UK

Jun 21 09:50 France

Jun 21 15:00 US

Jun 21 17:00 US

Jun 22 15:30 Italy

Jun 25 09:10 Norway

Jun 25 09:30 Germany

Jun 25 10:00 Belgium

Jun 25 15:30 Italy

Jun 26 00:30 Japan

Jun 26 08:30 Holland

Jun 26 08:30 Spain

Jun 26 09:10 Italy

Jun 26 09:30 UK

Jun 26 14:30 UK

Jun 26 17:00 US

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Originally posted here