The FX Specialist view – Price action in the GBP/JPY cross was relatively subdued in the second half of 2010, although staying on the weak side. A recent bounce has again raised the prospect of a better recovery phase, but key resistance still needs to be overcome.

  • WEEKLY CHART
    Price swings have continued here, with the market still unable to hold below the 76.4% level.
    On the upside a recovery through the current 23.6% rebound level at 134.30 would be a positive sign.
  • DAILY CHART:
    Recent strength has been putting pressure on the bear channel top at 132.25/30.
    A close above this would be positive, but a further recovery through the 134.21/30 area (Nov high and 23.6% level, see Weekly chart above) is needed for a decent bull signal. We would then start calculating higher targets.
    First support could lie around the 129.31 30-Nov low.

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