Economic Events: (GMT)
Monday is a very quiet day for economic news. Watch for a special EU meeting to handle the Greek Bailout
06:45 EUR French CPI (MoM)
The French Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis February 13, 2012, Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:
The GBP/USD is currently down 1.5756. The greenback has been picking up strength all day against its trading partners. The euro continues to fall on Greek worries, as the EU sent the Finance Minister back to Greece with an incomplete agreement. The EU is demanding 100% compliance and institution of the package before they will consider the bailout. On the other hand the Greek Ministers only arrived with promises, which as all political promises have little value and multiple interpretations. The EU is demand that the austerity measures be passed by the Greek legislature.
In the US there was a slight wrinkle in todays economic news, as the US trade balance came off forecast, which is always possible after the holiday season, the Commerce Department reported the trade deficit widened in December, hitting $48.8 billion.
A gauge of consumers’ views on current conditions fell to 79.6 in February from 84.2 in January. Meanwhile, the index for expectations also declined, to 68 from 69.1.
Economic Data Thursday Feb 9, 2012 ( actual v forecast )
|
AUD |
NAB Quarterly Business Confidence |
1.00 |
-3.00 |
|
|
KRW |
South Korean Interest Rate Decision |
3.25% |
3.25% |
3.25% |
|
CNY |
Chinese CPI (YoY) |
4.5% |
4.0% |
4.1% |
|
CNY |
Chinese PPI (YoY) |
0.7% |
0.8% |
1.7% |
|
GBP |
Industrial Production (MoM) |
0.5% |
0.2% |
-0.5% |
|
GBP |
Manufacturing Production (MoM) |
1.0% |
0.3% |
-0.1% |
|
GBP |
Trade Balance |
-7.1B |
-8.4B |
-8.9B |
|
GBP |
Interest Rate Decision |
0.50% |
0.50% |
0.50% |
|
EUR |
Interest Rate Decision |
1.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
|
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims |
358K |
370K |
373K |
|
EUR |
ECB Press Conference |
|||
|
USD |
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3515K |
3525K |
3451K |
|
MXN |
Mexican CPI (YoY) |
4.0% |
4.0% |
3.8% |
|
GBP |
NIESR GDP Estimate |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
Sovereign Bond Auction Schedule Feb 13-17
Feb 13 10:10 Italy BOT auction
Feb 13 10:10 Norway T-bill auction
Feb 13 10:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Aug 2012 Bubill
Feb 13 12:00 Norway Details bond auction on Feb 20
Feb 14 09:30 Netherlands Eur 3.0bn-4.0bn Jan 2017 DSL
Feb 14 09:30 Spain 12 & 18M T-bill auction
Feb 14 10:10 Greece 3M T-bill auction
Feb 14 10:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auction
Feb 14 10:30 Belgium Auctions 3 & 12M T-bills
Feb 15 10:10 Sweden Auctions T-bills
Feb 15 10:30 Portugal Eur 1.5-1.75bn May & Aug T-bills
Feb 16 09:30 Spain Obligacion auction
Feb 16 10.30 UK Auctions 4.5% 2034 conventional Gilt
Feb 16 10:50 France BTA/OATi auction
Feb 16 16:00 US
Announces auctions of 2Y Notes on Feb 21, 5Y Notes on Feb
22 & 7Y Notes on Feb 23
Feb 16 18:00 US Auctions 30Y TIPS
Originally posted here
