By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The GBP/USD fell on the overall strength of the greenback, to trade today at 1.6153 falling all week after reaching the upper 1.62 range last week with hopes that it could break through to the 1.63 range.

In the early part of the week there is little in the way of econ data from either side of the Atlantic. Today the RICS House Price balance exceeded forecast, but the UK housing market has been in the dumps for long while an no was expecting much more.

With the BoE meeting on the 10th and markets expecting no changes and therefore no statement there is little excitement here, but the main event will be the trade balance and industrial and manufacturing production reports, which could lift the pound back towards the 1.63 level.

Eco Data for May 8, 2012, a very thin day

GBP

RICS House Price Balance

-19%

-10%

-10%

AUD

Trade Balance

-1.59B

-1.40B

-0.75B

CAD

Housing Starts

245K

204K

215K

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

May 10

08:30

EUR

Dutch CPI (YoY)

2.40%

2.50%

09:00

EUR

ECB Monthly Report

09:30

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM)

-0.3%

0.4%

09:30

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM)

0.5%

-1.0%

09:30

GBP

Trade Balance

-9.6B

-8.8B

12:00

GBP

Interest Rate Decision

0.50%

0.50%

12:00

GBP

BOE QE Total

325B

325B

13:30

USD

IImport Price Index (MoM)

-0.2%

1.3%

13:30

USD

Trade Balance

-50.0B

-46.0B

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

369K

365K

13:30

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims

3278K

3276K

14:30

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

15:00

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

0.1%

19:00

USD

Federal Budget Balance

30.0B

-198.2B

May 11

00:01

GBP

Nationwide Consumer Confidence

53

07:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM)

0.1%

0.1%

09:30

GBP

PPI Input (MoM)

-1.0%

1.9%

10:00

EUR

Portuguese CPI (MoM)

1.20%

13:30

USD

Core PPI (MoM)

0.3%

13:30

USD

PPI (MoM)

0.0%

14:55

USD

Michigan Consumer Sentiment

76.4

Government Bond Auctions (this week)

Date Time Country

May 09 09:10 Sweden

May 09 09:30 Germany

May 09 09:30 Swiss

May 09 09:30 UK

May 09 14:30 Sweden

May 09 15:30 Italy

May 09 17:00 US

May 10 15:00 US

May 10 17:00 US

May 11 09:10 Italy BOT auction

May 11 10:00 Belgium

Click here to read GBP/USD Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here