By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendations:
Gold dipped to trade at 1575.45 after Bernanke’s statement was released. Fed Chief Bernanke today sketched out for members of Congress the weaker economic outlook, and stressed that the central bank is prepared to take further action to try to give the recovery a jolt. In testimony prepared for the Senate Banking Committee as part of his twice-per-year report on Fed monetary policy issues, Bernanke said that the reduction in the unemployment rate in coming months seems likely to be “frustratingly slow.” Bernanke urged Congress to move right away to address the looming fiscal cliff, saying it threatened the recovery. He said that the European debt crisis was also a significant threat. The Fed chairman gave no indication outside of what was provided in the June FOMC minutes of any action or consideration, disappointing markets.
Investors spent most of the day preparing and positioning before Bernanke’s statement, there was limited news flow and little eco data prior to his testimony.
Overall it was a very quiet day in the markets, with low volume.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data Reported on July 17, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
Currency |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
Jul. 17 |
AUD |
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes |
|||
GBP |
Core CPI (YoY) |
2.1% |
2.3% |
2.2% |
|
GBP |
CPI (YoY) |
2.4% |
2.8% |
2.8% |
|
GBP |
CPI (MoM) |
-0.4% |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
|
EUR |
German ZEW Economic Sentiment |
-19.6 |
-20.0 |
-16.9 |
|
EUR |
ZEW Economic Sentiment |
-22.3 |
-28.0 |
-20.1 |
|
GBP |
BoE Gov King Speaks |
||||
USD |
Core CPI (MoM) |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
USD |
CPI (MoM) |
0.0% |
-0.1% |
-0.3% |
|
Manufacturing Sales (MoM) |
-0.40% |
1.00% |
-1.10% |
||
USD |
CPI (YoY) |
1.7% |
1.6% |
1.7% |
|
USD |
Core CPI (YoY) |
2.2% |
2.2% |
2.3% |
|
CAD |
Interest Rate Decision |
1.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
|
USD |
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions |
55.0B |
45.7B |
27.2B |
|
USD |
Industrial Production (MoM) |
0.4% |
0.3% |
-0.2% |
|
USD |
Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Previous |
Jul 18 |
8:30 |
GBP |
Claimant Count Change |
8.1K |
8:30 |
GBP |
Unemployment Rate |
8.2% |
|
9:00 |
CHF |
ZEW Economic Expectations |
-43.4 |
|
12:30 |
USD |
Building Permits |
0.78M |
|
12:30 |
USD |
Housing Starts |
0.71M |
|
14:30 |
USD |
Crude Oil Inventories |
-4.7M |
|
Jul 19 |
6:00 |
CHF |
Trade Balance |
2.48B |
8:00 |
EUR |
Current Account |
4.6B |
|
8:30 |
GBP |
Retail Sales m/m |
1.4% |
|
12:30 |
USD |
Unemployment Claims |
||
14:00 |
USD |
Existing Home Sales |
4.55M |
|
14:00 |
USD |
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index |
-16.6 |
|
Jul 20 |
6:00 |
EUR |
German PPI m/m |
-0.3% |
8:30 |
GBP |
Public Sector Net Borrowing |
15.6B |
Click here a current Gold Chart.
Originally posted here