By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold is trading at 1611.65 up 14.85. Gold had weakened slightly after a relatively choppy trading session yesterday to climb today. Reports of Europe’s $125 billion bailout package to Spain’s banks had given a short period of comfort to investors earlier. Latest data from the US is showing a slow down on US recovery but Fed chairman Ben Bernanke provided few clues on probable monetary easing in his last congressional testimony. However bullion investors are suspicious over new positions in bullion ahead of the outcome of imminent key events. Greek vote on June 17, G 20 meeting and US Federal Reserve policy meeting are the upcoming events. At the same time, providing signals of rising investor demand, holdings of exchange traded funds rose to its highest levels since the start of May. Market sentiment changed as the day progressed, investors turned more and more negative on the euro and returned to safe haven mode, moving back to the USD and gold at the same time, which is quite unusual

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data for June 12, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 12

GBP

RICS House Price Balance

-16%

-18%

-19%

JPY

Tertiary Industry Activity Index (MoM)

-0.3%

0.4%

-0.6%

JPY

BoJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks

AUD

NAB Business Confidence

-2

4

EUR

French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ)

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM)

0.0%

0.1%

-0.3%

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM)

-0.7%

-0.2%

0.9%

GBP

Industrial Production (YoY)

-1.0%

-1.0%

-2.6%

USD

Import Price Index (MoM)

-1.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

0.1%

-0.1%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun 13

7:15

CHF

PPI m/m

-0.1%

9:00

EUR

Industrial Production m/m

-0.3%

12:30

USD

PPI m/m

-0.2%

12:30

USD

Retail Sales m/m

0.1%

14:00

USD

Business Inventories m/m

0.3%

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-0.1M

Jun 14

7:30

CHF

Libor Rate

7:30

CHF

SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

7:30

CHF

SNB Press Conference

8:00

CHF

SNB Financial Stability Report

8:00

EUR

ECB Monthly Bulletin

9:00

EUR

CPI y/y

2.4%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

377K

12:30

USD

CPI m/m

0.0%

12:30

USD

Current Account

-124B

Jun 15

8:30

GBP

Trade Balance

-8.6B

12:30

USD

Empire State Manufacturing Index

17.1

13:00

USD

TIC Long-Term Purchases

36.2B

13:15

USD

Capacity Utilization Rate

79.2%

13:15

USD

Industrial Production m/m

1.1%

13:55

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

79.3

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jun 13 09:10 Italy

Jun 13 09:30 Germany

Jun 13 09:30 Swiss

Jun 13 17:00 US

Jun 14 09:10 Italy

Jun 14 09:30 UK

Jun 14 15:00 US

Jun 14 17:00 US

Click here to read Gold Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here