By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendations:
Gold was up in today’s session trading at 1579.45 adding 8.25 but overall the precious metal is looking for direction. Today, markets were in a cautious mood waiting for news flows or some indication either positive or negative from the EU. With elections still weeks away in Greece, the Spanish banking fiasco pending and the Irish vote in front of us, traders are showing caution.
Commodities were seen trading in a positive territory following hints at a possible Chinese stimulus action. However, markets were eyeing the U.S consumer confidence data for fresh cues. Spot gold traded weakly owing to a flat Euro, which continue to trade near its lowest level in 22-months. The base metal complex in LME was seen trading almost flat with a mild positive bias. On the contrary, currency decline in domestic market continue to lend a helping hand for base metals to trade with an affirmative trend. The dollar index extended its decline from the previous session on speculation that China will take more steps to boost economic growth and easing Greece exit fears.
Market mood in trade was optimistic on possible Chinese stimulus hopes. However, markets were eyeing the U.S consumer confidence data, scheduled for release in the evening for further directional moves. The figures are expected to show an increase in consumer confidence from the previous month, a sign of better things ahead for the U.S economy.
The week is all set to pack a punch with some heavyweight economic data in store for release. Most important one’s to look for would be the U.S manufacturing, GDP and Payrolls data. Any incongruity in these data could have significant bearing on the commodity price movements. With the Chinese economy going through a rough patch, all eyes are glued to the government manufacturing figures, scheduled for release on Friday. After a series of muddled job numbers off-late from the U.S, financial markets would be anticipating strong assuring numbers from this week’s Nonfarm Payrolls data, which is projected to show companies in the U.S added 150K more jobs in May. However, emotions out of Europe are more likely to top headlines and weigh on sentiments as seen over past few weeks.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data for May 29, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Currency |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
May 29 |
JPY |
Unemployment Rate |
4.6% |
4.5% |
4.5% |
|
JPY |
Retail Sales (YoY) |
5.8% |
6.3% |
10.3% |
|
|
AUD |
HIA New Home Sales (MoM) |
6.9% |
-9.4% |
||
|
GBP |
CBI Distributive Trades Survey |
21 |
-7 |
-6 |
|
|
EUR |
German CPI (MoM) |
-0.2% |
-0.1% |
0.2% |
|
|
EUR |
German CPI (YoY) |
1.9% |
2.0% |
2.1% |
|
|
USD |
CB Consumer Confidence |
64.9 |
70.0 |
68.7 |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Previous |
|
|
May 30 |
7:00 |
CHF |
KOF Economic Barometer |
0.40 |
|
8:00 |
EUR |
M3 Money Supply y/y |
3.2% |
|
|
8:30 |
GBP |
Net Lending to Individuals m/m |
1.4B |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
Pending Home Sales m/m |
4.1% |
|
|
23:01 |
GBP |
GfK Consumer Confidence |
-31 |
|
|
May 31 |
5:45 |
CHF |
GDP q/q |
0.1% |
|
31st-3rd |
EUR |
German Retail Sales m/m |
0.8% |
|
|
6:45 |
EUR |
French Consumer Spending m/m |
-2.9% |
|
|
7:55 |
EUR |
German Unemployment Change |
19K |
|
|
9:00 |
EUR |
CPI Flash Est?mate y/y |
2.6% |
|
|
12:15 |
USD |
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change |
119K |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Prelim GDP q/q |
2.2% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Unemployment Claims |
370K |
|
|
13:45 |
USD |
Chicago PMI |
56.2 |
|
|
15:00 |
USD |
Crude Oil Inventories |
0.9M |
|
|
Jun 1 |
TBD |
GBP |
Halifax HPI m/m |
|
|
7:15 |
CHF |
Retail Sales y/y |
4.2% |
|
|
7:30 |
CHF |
SVME PMI |
46.9 |
|
|
7:45 |
EUR |
Italian Manufacturing PMI |
43.8 |
|
|
8:30 |
GBP |
Manufacturing PMI |
50.5 |
|
|
9:00 |
EUR |
Unemployment Rate |
10.9% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Non-Farm Employment Change |
115K |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Unemployment Rate |
8.1% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Core PCE Price Index m/m |
0.0% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Personal Spending m/m |
0.2% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
0.3% |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y |
54.8 |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
May 30 09:10 Italy
May 30 09:10 Sweden
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Originally posted here
