By FXEmpire.com

Introduction: Gold prices always rise when there is uncertainty in the global economy. In times of uncertainty, investors tend to run towards gold. Suppose, rumors are flying high about some event in the world and this is increasing the uncertainty in the financial markets.

  • Gold reacts to uncertainty in the markets
  • Gold reacts to the Federal Reserve and monetary policy
  • A drop in major currencies can indicate a run into gold.
  • Remember investors tend to take profit from gold so watch for trading opportunities when investors are taking profits, not moving out of the markets.

Weekly Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold continued to climb after a disappointing GDP release in the US.

Date

Last

Open

High

Low

Change %

Apr 27, 2012

1663.35

1657.25

1668.35

1651.15

0.36%

Apr 26, 2012

1657.35

1644.05

1661.55

1643.15

0.82%

Apr 25, 2012

1643.95

1642.35

1647.05

1625.55

0.09%

Apr 24, 2012

1642.45

1637.45

1650.05

1634.75

0.30%

Apr 23, 2012

1637.55

1643.45

1644.15

1623.95

-0.37%

The U.S. economy slowed more than expected in the first quarter, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Real gross domestic product rose at a 2.2% annualized rate in the first quarter, down from a 3.0% increase in the fourth quarter.

UoM consumer sentiment rose unexpectedly last month, data showed on Friday.
In a report, the University of Michigan said that consumer sentiment rose to a seasonally adjusted 76.4, from 75.7 in the preceding month.
Analysts had expected UoM consumer sentiment to remain unchanged at 75.7 last month.

What’s more, a string of recent data suggesting some softening in the economy has raised concerns about whether the recovery will accelerate in the months ahead. A downturn in Europe could hurt U.S. exports, for instance, and higher gas prices could act as a drag.

A softer tone for the dollar was set Wednesday after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates on hold and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said he remained willing to buy more bonds should the economy need help.

The number of Americans who applied for jobless benefits remained elevated for the third straight week, suggesting some weakening in the U.S. labor market.

Jobless claims fell by 1,000 to a seasonally adjusted 388,000 in the week ended April 21, the U.S. Labor Department said Thursday. Claims from two weeks ago were revised up to 389,000 — the highest level since the first week of January.

Investors have begun to wonder if the US economy has hit a wall. This week’s ADP and Unemployment reports will be crucial.

Historical

High: 1916.20

Low: 1321.10

Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the Euro, GBP, and Franc and USD

May 1

4:30am

GBP

Manufacturing PMI

51.4

52.1

10:00am

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

53.0

53.4

May 2

4:30am

GBP

Construction PMI

54.2

56.7

8:15am

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

179K

209K

May 3

4:30am

GBP

Services PMI

54.6

55.3

7:45am

EUR

Minimum Bid Rate

1.00%

1.00%

8:30am

EUR

ECB Press Conference

8:30am

USD

Unemployment Claims

382K

388K

10:00am

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

55.5

56.0

May 4

8:30am

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

176K

120K

8:30am

USD

Unemployment Rate

8.2%

8.2%

Originally posted here