This is from Tom McClellan (yes that one). He does a lot of work on offsetting two markets to see relationships, sort of like overlaying the birth rate with recession offset by 9-months. If you can’t go out to a fancy restaurant, well, you know.

Lumber_vs_HGX.gif
According to this chart,  housing stocks should peak in the middle of next year. Of course, nowhere near where it was a few years ago.  Believe it or not.