“We think the global (and overall European) outlook remains robust.”
That’s the word from Goldman Sachs’ Erik Nielson this weekend, who also observes that he was “Possibly deluded by the wonderful vibrancy of California.” Deluded indeed seems to be an excellent choice of words with a new report out showing that California leads the nation in a local government pension crisis that has a $3.5Tn hole to fill and will not be sufficient to pay benefits through 2020 along with 5 other states while another 20 states will run out of funding by 2025. Is Nielson just saying anything to herd more suckers into the market by telling the sidelined cash that it’s safe to go back in the water or is he cleverly employing an SEP Field to bamboozle the public?
An SEP (Somebody Else’s Problem) Field s an effect that causes people to ignore matters which are generally important to a group but may not seem specifically important to the individual. As Douglas Adams put it:
An SEP is something we can’t see, or don’t see, or our brain doesn’t let us see, because we think that it’s somebody else’s problem… The brain just edits it out, it’s like a blind spot. If you look at it directly you won’t see it unless you know precisely what it is. Your only hope is to catch it by surprise out of the corner of your eye. It relies on people’s natural predisposition not to see anything they don’t want to, were not expecting, or can’t explain.
SEP’s are commonly used by politicians to justify ridiculous policies like kicking crises down the road, ignoring pension and other unfunded obligations (that’s going to be your children’s problem), massive deficits (grandchildren’s problem), unemployment (lazy people’s problem), global warming (someone living south of you’s problem) and, of course unfair tax policies (poor people’s problem). They are also used by analysts, CEOs, their lobbyists and journalists (especially TV ones) to distract the “beautiful sheeple” from focusing on what’s really happening.
Not at all our problem is the price of vegetables in China and that’s a good thing for us because they have risen 20% in 30 days. Officially, China’s inflation rate was 4.4% in October but even that is expected to jump 14% to 5% in November. “Many see China’s monetary tightening as a pre-emptive tap on…