By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Natural Gas is trading at 2.747 slightly elevated in today’s session. As summer comes to an end traders are hoping for a late summer, known as an Indian summer, which gives the possibility of 1-2 more months of hotter than expected temperatures. This week the US seems to be turning up the thermometer with temperatures climbing to the above average across the mid west and south.

Power generators have switched from coal to natural gas–with a devastating impact on coal. Coal has long been the dominant fuel for power generation. But April 2012, for the first time in the history of EIA data, power generation from coal-fired and natural gas-fired plants reached parity, each contributing 32% to total electricity generation.

With natural gas prices as low as they’ve been over the past years, operating costs for power generators have plunged. It doesn’t hurt that NGCC plants have lower capital costs than coal plants–$600 to $700 per kW versus $1,400 to $2,000 kW–relatively short construction times, and environmental benefits.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data August 20, 2012 actual v. forecast

A very lite day

Aug. 16

NZD

PPI Input (QoQ)

0.6%

-0.2%

0.3%

Aug. 17

USD

Michigan Consumer Sentiment

73.6

72.4

72.3

Aug. 20

GBP

Rightmove House Price Index (MoM)

-2.4%

-1.7%

WEEKLY

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Aug 22

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.37M

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-3.7M

18:00

USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

Aug 23

6:00

CHF

Trade Balance

2.25B

7:00

EUR

French Flash Manufacturing PMI

43.4

7:00

EUR

French Flash Services PMI

50.0

7:30

EUR

German Flash Manufacturing PMI

43.0

7:30

EUR

German Flash Services PMI

50.3

8:00

EUR

Flash Manufacturing PMI

44.0

8:00

EUR

Flash Services PMI

47.9

8:30

GBP

BBA Mortgage Approvals

26.3K

10:00

GBP

CBI Realized Sales

11

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

366K

13:00

USD

Flash Manufacturing PMI

51.4

14:00

USD

New Home Sales

350K

Click here for further Natural Gas Forecast.

Originally posted here