Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis February 28, 2012, Forecast

By FX Empire.com

Economic Events: (GMT)

WEEKLY

• This Week in Petroleum
  Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
• Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
  Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
• Weekly Petroleum Status Report
  Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)
• Heating Oil & Propane Update (October-March)
  Heating Oil, Propane Residential and Wholesale Price Data
  Release Schedule: Wednesday at 1:00 p.m. EST
• Weekly Coal Production
  Release Schedule: Thursday by 5:00 p.m. EST
• Weekly NYMEX Coal Futures
  Release Schedule: Monday by 5:00 p.m. EST
• Coal News & Markets
  Release Schedule: Monday by 5:00 p.m. EST
• Natural Gas Weekly Update
  Release Schedule: Thursday between 2:00 and 2:30 p.m. (Eastern Time)
• Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
  Release Schedule: Thursday at 10:30 (Eastern Time) (schedule)

Analysis and Recommendations:

Natural Gas is has plummeted to 2.611 on profit taking, and warmer weather forecast. As March rolls in winter rolls out. Gas has been in the news a good deal lately, with announcements from Chesapeake Energy with their future growth predictions along with news of more use of natural gas in the future and environmentalist concerns in regards to the process used to capture the gas. Inventories this week showed a drop as expected. Weather has been holding and winter is coming to an end along with the possible higher demand for NG. Natural Gas should bottom out over the next month.

Weekly losses for natural gas, which has been beset by a mild winter in most of the key consuming U.S. areas and ever-growing production from shale gas, reached 5%

We should see Gas continue to decline until it finds the bottom to sit on, falling as low as 2.36 is quiet possible.

Originally posted here