By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Natural Gas has been very active today, moving up and then falling as investors pulled profits from the markets. Most traders are positioning themselves before the busy week in EU politics, with the upcoming Green elections and the French polls and the Presidential election in Egypt. Many traders are withdrawing to sit on the side lines, as markets most likely will be extremely volatile come Monday.

The Dollar Index has dropped on due to negative eco data in the US and worries over the US economic slowdown.

The US National Hurricane Center has issued advisory on tropical storm Carlotta in eastern pacific, which may create supply disturbance. So, concern of supply disturbance may keep on gas on higher side. As per US Energy department, natural gas storage has been increased by 67 BCF in the last week, which is lower than last 5 weeks average at this time. Consumption of power sector have also increased by 6 percent , which may support gas prices to remain on higher side.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data June 15, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 15

JPY

Interest Rate Decision

0.10%

0.10%

0.10%

GBP

Trade Balance

-10.1B

-8.5B

-8.7B

EUR

Employment Change (QoQ)

-0.2%

-0.2%

-0.3%

CAD

Manufacturing Sales (MoM)

-0.80%

1.00%

1.90%

USD

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

2.3

13.0

17.1

WEEKLY

Natural Gas Weekly Update
Release Schedule: Thursday between 2:00 and 2:30 p.m. (Eastern Time)

Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
Release Schedule: Thursday at 10:30 (Eastern Time) (schedule)

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun 18

18th-22nd

GBP

Nationwide Consumer Confidence

45

44

Day 1

ALL

G20 Meetings

Jun 19

8:30

GBP

CPI y/y

3.0%

9:00

EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment

-2.4

12:30

USD

Building Permits

0.72M

12:30

USD

Housing Starts

0.72M

Day 2

ALL

G20 Meetings

Jun 20

6:00

EUR

German PPI m/m

0.2%

8:30

GBP

Claimant Count Change

-13.7K

8:30

GBP

MPC Meeting Minutes

0-0-9

0-0-9

8:30

GBP

Unemployment Rate

8.2%

9:00

CHF

ZEW Economic Expectations

-4.0

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-0.2M

16:30

USD

FOMC Statement

16:30

USD

Federal Funds Rate

18:00

USD

FOMC Economic Projections

18:15

USD

FOMC Press Conference

Jun 21

6:00

CHF

Trade Balance

1.33B

7:00

EUR

French Flash Manufacturing PMI

44.7

7:00

EUR

French Flash Services PMI

45.1

7:15

CHF

Industrial Production q/q

7.9%

7:30

EUR

German Flash Manufacturing PMI

45.2

7:30

EUR

German Flash Services PMI

51.8

8:00

EUR

Current Account

9.1B

8:00

EUR

Flash Manufacturing PMI

45.1

8:00

EUR

Flash Services PMI

46.7

8:30

GBP

Retail Sales m/m

-2.3%

10:00

GBP

CBI Industrial Order Expectations

-17

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

386K

13:00

USD

Flash Manufacturing PMI

54.0

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.62M

14:00

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

-5.8

Jun 22

8:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate

106.9

All Day

EUR

ECOFIN Meetings

13:00

EUR

Belgium NBB Business Climate

-11.2

Click here for further Natural Gas Forecast.

Originally posted here