By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Natural Gas continues to surprise the markets trading up today at 2.464 adding 0.033. Markets seem to believe that many producers are closing down or lowering production. This is more like manipulation to drive up prices. Gas is not financial worthwhile to produce under 3.00 and while there are ample supplies producers are losing money

Warm weather forecasts might also help use up additional supplies. Markets are hoping to see a reduction in inventory this week.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which cover the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins.

Economic Reports May 15, 2012 actual v. forecast

EUR

French CPI (MoM)

0.1%

0.3%

0.8%

EUR

French GDP (QoQ)

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

EUR

German GDP (QoQ)

0.5%

0.1%

-0.2%

EUR

German GDP (YoY)

1.7%

0.8%

1.5%

EUR

French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ)

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.1%

GBP

Trade Balance

-8.6B

-8.4B

-8.6B

EUR

GDP (QoQ)

0.0%

-0.2%

-0.3%

EUR

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

10.8

19.0

23.4

EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment

-2.4

11.7

13.1

USD

Core CPI (MoM)

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

USD

Core Retail Sales (MoM)

0.1%

0.2%

0.8%

USD

CPI (MoM)

0.0%

0.1%

0.3%

USD

Retail Sales (MoM)

0.1%

0.2%

0.7%

USD

NY Empire State MFG Index

17.1

8.5

6.6

USD

CPI (YoY)

2.3%

2.3%

2.7%

USD

Core CPI (YoY)

2.3%

2.3%

2.3%

USD

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

36.2B

19.4B

10.1B

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

May 16

09:30

GBP

Average Earnings Index +Bonus

1.0%

1.1%

09:30

GBP

Claimant Count Change

5.0K

3.6K

10:00

EUR

CPI (YoY)

2.6%

2.6%

10:00

EUR

Core CPI (YoY)

1.5%

1.6%

10:30

GBP

BoE Inflation Report

10:30

GBP

BoE Gov King Speaks

10:30

EUR

German 10-Year Bund Auction

1.770%

11:00

EUR

Portuguese Unemployment Rate

14.00%

13:30

USD

Building Permits

0.730M

0.764M

13:30

USD

Housing Starts

0.680M

0.654M

14:15

USD

Industrial Production (MoM)

0.6%

0.0%

15:00

EUR

ECB President Draghi Speaks

19:00

USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

May 17

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

365K

367K

13:30

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims

3235K

3229K

15:00

USD

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

10.0

8.5

WEEKLY

Click here a current Natural Gas Chart.

Originally posted here