The following is a spreadsheet I developed today using Saragin NFL Rating system for the basis of calculation. http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl11.htm
I vasilated between picks this week, I decided to approach the games more objectively.
I’ve modified the rating with additional algorithums and rounding to objectively predict final score and total points.All games are subjected to same imputs and calculus.
The one purely subjective entry is a subtraction of 5 points from Pittsburg due to injuries.
I intend to bet these predictions in multiple parlays. With the three of strongest plays appearing to be the Texans -3, Lions +10.5 & and the Broncos + 8.5. I’m told the Lions game is a trap. Over on the Texans game and under on the Saints game also rank as top plays. The spreadsheet approach is something I use quite frequently when trading, both in fundamental and technical analysis. This is my first try at this NFL prediction system, we will see. how it plays out.
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I encourage comments and discussion.
