By FXEmpire.com

NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis March 29, 2012, Forecast

NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis March 29, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation: (close of the Asian session)

The NZD/USD slid lost 0.3 percent to 81.83 U.S. cents.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars slid against most major peers as Asian stocks extended a global retreat, sapping demand for higher-yielding assets.

Both currencies are headed for their first monthly drop this year amid concern Chinese manufacturing will slow, curbing demand for resource exports. Australia’s dollar touched the weakest level in five months against New Zealand’s so-called kiwi before a report forecast to show annual growth in bank lending in the larger nation was the slowest since August.

Economic Data March 27, 2012 actual v. forecast

Mar. 27

JPY

CSPI (YoY)

-0.6%

-0.4%

-0.4%

CHF

Consumption Indicator

0.87

0.93

EUR

German Import Price Index (MoM)

1.0%

1.0%

1.3%

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate

5.9

6.2

6.0

EUR

French Consumer Confidence

87

83

82

EUR

Netherlands GDP (YoY)

-0.6%

-0.7%

-0.7%

HKD

Hong Kong Trade Balance

-45.8B

-15.0B

-8.9B

EUR

Italian 2-Year CTZ Auction

2.352%

3.013%

GBP

CBI Distributive Trades Survey

0

-4

-2

TRY

Turkish Interest Rate Decision

5.75%

5.75%

5.75%

HUF

Hungarian Interest Rate Decision

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

USD

S&P/CS Home Price Indices Composite – 20 (YoY)

-3.8%

-3.8%

-4.1%

USD

CB Consumer Confidence

70.2

70.3

71.6

USD

Richmond Manufacturing Index

7

18

20

Economic Events March 29, 2012 that affect the JPY, AUD, and NZD

00:50 JPY Retail Sales (YoY) 1.4% 1.9%

Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 350K 348K

13:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims 3365K 3352K

Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. This is the earliest U.S. economic data, but the market impact varies from week to week.

13:30 USD GDP Price Index (QoQ) 0.9% 0.9%

The GDP Price Index measures the annualized change in the price of all goods and services included in gross domestic product. It is the broadest inflationary indicator.

13:30 USD GDP (QoQ) 3.0% 3.0%

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy’s health.

17:45 USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke (February 2006 – January 2014) is to speak. As head of the Fed, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the U.S. dollar’s value than any other person. Traders closely watch his speeches as they are often used to drop hints regarding future monetary policy.

22:45 NZD Building Consents (MoM) 8.3%

Building Consents (also known as Building Permits) measures the change in the number of new building consents issued by the government. Building consents are a key indicator of demand in the housing market.

Government Bond Auctions (this week)

Mar 29 09:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auction

Mar 29 17:00 US Auctions 7Y Notes

Originally posted here