Penn National Gaming (PENN) might look like a gamble thanks to recent volatility, but taking a look at the future growth it looks like a solid bet.

Company Description

Penn National Gaming owns and operates gaming and racing facilities, focusing on slot machines. The company operates 26 facilities and is in the process of developing 2 more.

Jackpot

On Jul 21 Penn National Gaming reported second quarter results that showed a 15% increase in revenues, to $688 million. That was more than $5 million above the company’s guidance.

Earnings per share almost doubled from $0.29 to $0.55 and was 6 cents higher than the company expected. Analysts were a bit more conservative, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.47, making the surprise that much better. Penn has topped forecasts in 5 of the past 6 quarters.

Analysts Placing Their Bets

Given the continually improving performance, analysts begin raising their estimates on the last quarterly report. Full-year estimate for 2011 are now averaging $2.03, up 32 cents and calling for a very strong finish to the year.

Next year’s Zacks Consensus Estimate is up 41 cents, to $2.24. These elevated estimates put annual growth rates at 28% and 10%, respectively.

Valuations

Shares of PENN are going for 19 times the 2011 consensus, not exactly screaming value but not bad either. However, throw in that 24% expected growth rate and you get a PEG of 0.8 which shows a nice bargain.

Double Down

Big sell offs usually conjure up 2 different gut instincts. The first, involves 4-letter words and a rush to sell. But, some will see this big plunge as a good spot to double down and take advantage of a great deal. This Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) is a solid bet to move higher from here.

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Bill Wilton is the Aggressive Growth Stock Strategist for Zacks.com. He is also the Editor in charge of the Zacks Small Cap Trader service
 
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