U.S. equity markets are trading higher overnight as investors are buying on speculation that government reports this week will show the global economic recovery is back on track. Easing of tensions in Europe is triggering a short-covering rally in the Euro which is helping to lead to increased demand for higher risk assets.
This week, U.S. traders are expecting to see positive reports in Industrial Production and factory output. Traders are expected to look at the long side of the market this morning in anticipation of strong economic results from both of these reports.
On Friday, stock indices rose despite mixed economic data. It was reported that U.S. Retail Sales for the month of May were negative and well below the consensus of a 0.2% gain. This news initially broke the equity markets but the lack of follow-through to the downside led to a quick short-covering rally by the mid-session and a sharply higher close.
Late Friday morning it was reported that the Michigan sentiment index reached its highest level in more than two years. This news stabilized the stock indices even further leading to a complete turnaround in the indices.
The June E-mini is up sharply ahead of the U.S. opening after closing above a downtrending Gann angle and a minor retracement zone. New support has been established at 1082.50. Today’s first upside target is a 50% price level at 1105.75. A move through this price will challenge the last main top at 1107.75.
The main trend will turn up on a move through 1107.75. This will set up the market for a further acceleration to the upside and a test of the .618 retracement level at 1122.00.
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