What are the US economic reports telling us? Is the economy facing a “double-dip” recession?
“The more plausible, bad scenario is not a double dip but just a very slow recovery … [where] the unemployment rate comes down but only over years,” says Robert Shiller of Yale University (via Yahoo Finance – Tech Ticker).
Shiller, who co-created the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, is most concerned about the nascent US housing recovery, saying that housing is in a “precarious state”. He said: “I think there is a definite risk of a turn down again in home prices. If home prices decline 10% or 20% more, we are in big trouble.”
Source: Yahoo Finance – Tech Ticker, March 5, 2010.