Utilities stock sector Relative Strength Ratio (XLU/SPY) rose to a new 12-month high on 8/27/10 and remains bullish.
Consumer Staples stock sector absolute price (XLP) turned neutral on 8/27/10 as price closed above the 50-day SMA. The 50-day SMA of price remains below the 200-day SMA.
The Small Cap Russell 2000 Index/Large Cap Relative Strength Ratio (IWM/SPY) rose above 2-week highs on 8/27/10 and is now neutral, between 50 & 200 SMAs.
Crude Oil nearest futures contract rose above 5-day highs on 8/27/10. The 3-week August downtrend may be in doubt. A longer time frame downside correction started after the 87.15 peak on 5/3/10.
Copper nearest futures contract price rose above 5-day highs on 8/27/10 and is challenging resistance near 3.4105, which is the high of 8/4/10. Strength in Copper suggests confidence about prospects for the world economy.
U.S. Treasury Bond nearest futures contract price fell sharply on Friday 8/27/10, breaking the week’s lows. Bonds previously had soared to a 19-month high in the morning of Wednesday 8/25/10 before reversing to close lower, and that could have marked overbought exhaustion for the short term. The major trend remains bullish.
S&P 500 Composite (SPX, 1,064.59) jumped up 17.37 points or 1.66% for its biggest gain in 3 weeks. Volume rose (but only modestly) and breadth (Advances minus Declines) was strong. SPX closed above 3-day highs but remains below a 3-week trendline as well as below falling 50 and 200 SMAs. A one-day rally by itself proves little, and the market may need to demonstrate upside follow-through in order to turn around investor confidence, which has fallen to a low level. One might question whether Friday’s rally attempt will be able to attract more of a following than other recent attempts. It still feels like a “show me” market. One of the problems is that, since April 2010, the high volume days have been down days, suggesting that supply of stocks for sale has dominated buying demand for stocks. The stock market has been consolidating in a trading range between the SPX 1131.23 high of 6/21/2010 and the SPX 1010.91 low of 7/1/2010. Without a strong bullish catalyst, further consolidation seems likely during the week ahead.
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Spotlight on event stocks: Here is a stock screen I designed to pick out potential event stocks, both Bullish and Bearish. Sometimes, stocks with large changes in price and volume are revealed to be deal stocks, sooner or later, or are the subject of some other extraordinary events, positive or negative.
Bullish Stocks: Rising Price and Rising Volume
Ranked by Price Change * Volume Change
% Price Change, Symbol, Name
1.77% , ELV , Value Large Cap DJ, ELV
1.96% , JKI , Value MidCap iS M, JKI
0.97% , FEU , Value LargeCap Euro STOXX 50 DJ, FEU
1.87% , PSTL , Steel Global PS ETF, PSTL
1.83% , DGT , Global Titans, DGT
2.81% , IGE , Natural Resource iS GS, IGE
10.27% , LNC , LINCOLN NATL
1.98% , UTH , Utilities H, UTH
4.15% , BHH , Internet B2B H, BHH
1.96% , IEV , Europe 350 S&P Index, IEV
2.29% , PXN , Nanotech Lux, PXN
1.93% , PUI , Utilities, PUI
2.37% , IXC , Energy Global, IXC
1.60% , NOVL , NOVELL
2.98% , RZV , Value SmallCap S&P 600, RZV
2.19% , PEJ , Leisure & Entertainment, PEJ
5.65% , TBT , 200% Short US T Bond, TBT
8.75% , ZEUS , Olympic Steell, ZEUS
2.39% , JKJ , SmallCap Core iS M, JKJ
2.48% , XSD , Semiconductor SPDR, XSD
1.46% , JKG , MidCap Blend Core iS M, JKG
5.27% , PTEN , Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
3.08% , PKB , Building & Construction, PKB
3.52% , EWA , Australia Index, EWA
2.09% , IWR , MidCap Russell, IWR
3.56% , MET , METLIFE
2.65% , EWC , Canada Index, EWC
4.29% , EP , EL PASO
3.28% , SIRI , Sirius Satellite
2.21% , IGW , Semiconductor iS GS, IGW
5.49% , HGSI , Human Genome Sciences Inc
2.87% , ININ , Interactive Intelligence ININ
2.97% , IWC , Microcap Russell, IWC
2.86% , LRCX , LAM RESEARCH CORP
1.33% , FDL , Dividend Leaders, FDL
2.13% , IJH , MidCap S&P 400 iS, IJH
2.37% , PST , 200% Short Bond 7-10 Yr T, PST
2.13% , RFV , Value MidCap S&P 400, RFV
2.08% , SCZ , Small Cap EAFE MSCI iS, SCZ
1.51% , EWL , Switzerland Index, EWL
Bearish Stocks: Falling Price and Rising Volume
Ranked by Price Change * Volume Change
% Price Change, Symbol, Name
-3.16% , TIF , TIFFANY
-1.69% , TLH , Bond 10-20 Year US Treas, TLH
-2.83% , TLT , Bond, 20+ Years Treasury, TLT
-4.44% , SNDK , SanDisk Corporation
-1.49% , URBN , Urban Outfitters Inc.
-4.16% , MZZ , Short 200% MidCap 400 PS, MZZ
-2.47% , QID , Short 200% QQQ PS, QID
-0.90% , LQD , Bond, Corp, LQD
-1.31% , NYT , NY TIMES STK A
-3.32% , DXD , Short 200% Dow 30 PS, DXD
-0.90% , CVS , CVS
-3.15% , SDS , Short 200% S&P 500 PS, SDS
-1.09% , PSQ , Short 100% QQQ, PSQ
-1.45% , GS , GOLDMAN SACHS
-1.81% , RIMM , RESEARCH IN MOTION LTD
-0.58% , HPQ , HEWLETT PACKARD
-1.57% , SH , Short 100% S&P 500, SH
-0.90% , RAI , Reynolds American
-0.64% , JCP , JC PENNEY
-1.15% , IEF , Bond, 10 Year Treasury, IEF
-0.68% , TAP , ADOLPH COORS STK B, TAP
-0.22% , BBY , BEST BUY
-0.31% , MO , ALTRIA, MO
-0.15% , KR , KROGER
-0.20% , DGX , QUEST DIAG
-0.59% , TIP , Bond, TIPS, TIP
-0.14% , WFMI , Whole Foods Market Inc
-0.19% , OMX , OFFICEMAX INC., OMX
-0.02% , SJM , J. M. Smucker
-0.27% , ESRX , EXPRESS SCRIPTS
-0.07% , SHY , Bond, 1-3 Year Treasury, SHY
-0.16% , COST , COSTCO WHOLESAL
-0.01% , HYG , Bond High-Yield Corporate, HYG
-0.02% , PEP , PEPSICO
9 major U.S. stock sectors ranked in order of long-term relative strength:
Utilities (XLU) Bullish, Over Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLU/SPY) rose to a new 12-month high on 8/27/10 and remains bullish: above 50-day and 200-day SMAs, and with the 50 above the 200. Absolute price of XLU turned bullish on 8/18/10 with a SMA bullish crossover (50>200). Support 30.15, 29.66, 27.91, 27.44, and 25.76. Resistance 31.64 and 32.08.
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) Bullish, Over Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLY/SPY) rose above 8-week highs on 8/20/10, confirming a bullish trend. The Ratio remains above both SMAs and the 50-day SMA remains above the 200-day SMA. Absolute price of XLY turned bearish on 8/20/10 as the 50-day SMA fell below the 200-day SMA. Support 29.80, 28.64, 28.21, and 26.62. Resistance 32.41, 33.12, 34.39, 36.13, 38.25 and 39.09.
Consumer Staples (XLP) Neutral, Market Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLP/SPY) The Relative Strength Ratio (XLY/SPY) rose above 12-month highs on 8/24/10, again confirming a bullish trend. Absolute price of XLP turned neutral on 8/27/10 as price closed above the 50-day SMA. The 50-day SMA of price remains below the 200-day SMA. Support 26.34, 25.30, and 24.95. Resistance 27.83, 27.95, 28.20, 28.75, 29.29 and 30.29.
Materials (XLB) Neutral, Market Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLB/SPY) bounced off its 200-day SMA on 8/24/10 but remains neutral, with the 50-day SMA below the 200-day SMA. Absolute price fell below to its 50-day SMA on 8/24/10 and remains neutral, with the 50-day SMA below the 200-day SMA. Support 29.88, 29.43, and 27.67. Resistance 32.93, 33.06, 35.47, and 37.56.
Industrial (XLI) Neutral, Market Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLI/SPY) crossed below the 50-day SMA 8/24/10, turning neutral. Absolute price fell further below 4-week lows on 8/24/10 and remains bearish relative to both SMAs (50 and 200). Support 27.67, 26.79 and 26.66. Resistance 31.15, 32.41, 33.46, 34.24, 34.50, and 35.00.
Technology (XLK) Neutral, Market Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLK/SPY) fell to a 3-month low on 8/13/10 and remains neutral. Absolute price of XLK remains bearish, below both SMAs and with the 50-day SMA below the 200-day SMA. Support 20.01 and 19.51. Resistance 22.62, 23.27, 24.16, 24.68, and 25.69.
Health Care (XLV) Bearish, Under Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLV/SPY) has been bearish since peaking on 2/23/09. Absolute price of XLV has been bearish since peaking on 1/20/10. Support 27.49. Resistance 29.38, 29.93, 30.83, 32.05, 32.18, 32.42, 32.69, 33.16, 33.37 and 33.74.
Energy (XLE) Bearish, Under Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLE/SPY) has been bearish since peaking on 7/1/08 and fell below 8-week lows on 8/26/10. Absolute price of XLE turned bearish after peaking on 4/26/10. Support 50.42, 48.56, 46.16, and 43.66. Resistance 56.70, 58.11, 59.84, 62.30, 62.73, 69.95, and 78.10.
Financial (XLF) Bearish, Under Weight. The Relative Strength Ratio (XLF/SPY) fell to a new 9-month low on 8/26/10 and remains bearish. Absolute price fell to a new 12-month low on 8/25/10 and has been in a bearish trend since peaking on 4/15/10. Support 13.29 and 13.08. Resistance 15.09, 15.67, 16.13, 16.90, 17.12, 17.16, and 17.87.
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Emerging Markets Stocks ETF (EEM) Relative Strength Ratio (EEM/SPY) rose to another new 10-month high on 8/20/10, again confirming a significant bullish trend. Absolute price of EEM rose to neutral. The price 50-day remains below the 200-day SMA.
Foreign Stocks ETF (EFA) Relative Strength Ratio (EFA/SPY) remains neutral, with the 50-day SMA below the 200-day SMA.
NASDAQ Composite/S&P 500 Relative Strength Ratio fell below 6-month lows on 8/13/10, thereby confirming a significant correction to the downside.
The S&P 500 Equally Weighted ETF Relative Strength Ratio (RSP/SPY) appears neutral for the intermediate term, consolidating gains since peaking on 6/15/10. Longer term, RSP /SPY has been bullish, trending upward since 11/19/08.
The Largest Cap S&P 100/S&P 500 Relative Strength Ratio (OEX/SPX) appears to be consolidating losses since its low on 6/15/10. Big caps have been out of favor for more than 10 years, since 3/29/2000.
The Small Cap Russell 2000 Index/Large Cap Relative Strength Ratio (IWM/SPY) rose above 2-week highs on 8/27/10 and is now neutral, between 50 & 200 SMAs. Still, this Ratio has demonstrated underperformance of Small Caps since peaking on 5/17/10. Longer term, however, IWM/SPY has been bullish, trending upward since 4/8/99.
The S&P MidCap 400/Large Cap Relative Strength Ratio (MDY/SPY) appears neutral for the intermediate term, consolidating gains since peaking on 5/28/10. Longer term, MDY /SPY has been bullish, trending upward since 4/7/99.
Crude Oil nearest futures contract rose above 5-day highs on 8/27/10. The 3-week August downtrend may be in doubt. A longer time frame downside correction started after the 87.15 peak on 5/3/10. Support 70.76, 70.35, 69.51, 68.59, 67.15, 65.05, and 64.24. Resistance 77.03, 84.55, 87.15, 90.51, 98.65, and 102.84.
Gold nearest futures contract consolidated gains since rising above 8-week highs on 8/26/10, and again confirming a significant uptrend. Support 1210.9, 1191.5, 1155.6, 1124.3, 1120.9, 1084.8, 1045.2, 1026.9, and 989.3. Resistance: 1264.8, 1263.7, and 1266.5.
Gold Mining Stocks ETF (GDX) Relative Strength Ratio (relative to the Gold bullion ETF, GDX/GLD) has been whipsawing sideways through moving averages in recent months. Best stand aside until a clear trend emerges.
Silver/Gold Ratio has been mostly neutral, consolidating losses since making a low on 2/8/10. Longer term, Silver has underperformed Gold since 4/19/06.
Copper nearest futures contract price rose above 5-day highs on 8/27/10 and is challenging resistance near 3.4105, which is the high of 8/4/10. Strength in Copper suggests confidence about prospects for the world economy, while weakness in Copper suggests doubts. Support 3.1775, 2.9285, 2.8555, 2.8445, and 2.72. Resistance 3.4105, 3.795 and 4.27.
U.S. Treasury Bond nearest futures contract price fell sharply on Friday 8/27/10, breaking the week’s lows. Bonds previously had soared to a 19-month high in the morning of Wednesday 8/25/10 before reversing to close lower, and that could have marked overbought exhaustion for the short term. The major trend remains bullish. Support 130.29, 126.01, 125.07, 124.19, 123.03, 121.28, 119.26, 118.24, 118.12, 115.15, 114.06. 113.04, and 112.15. Resistance 136.31, 137.31, and 142.31.
Junk/Investment-Grade Corporate Bonds Relative Strength Ratio (JNK/LQD) fell below 3-month lows on 8/26/10, again confirming the preexisting bearish trend. The Ratio has been heading lower since the peak on 1/8/10. From 3/9/09 to 1/8/10, JNK/LQD was bullish, with the ratio moving upward and Junk outperforming.
U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected / U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Relative Strength Ratio (TIP/IEF) fell further below 15-month lows on 8/24/10 and remains RELATIVELY bearish. This implies that investors are choosing less inflation protection.
The U.S. dollar nearest futures contract price rose above 4-week highs again on 8/24/10, confirming a short-term correction to the upside. The larger time frames appear uncertain, however. Support 80.14, 79.73, 79.61, 78.83, 78.20, 76.74 and 75.90. Resistance 83.64, 85.36, 86.71, 89.22, 89.71, and 92.53.
Advisory Service Sentiment: There were 33.3% Bulls versus 31.21% Bears as of 8/25/10, according to the weekly Investors Intelligence survey of stock market newsletter advisors. The Bull/Bear ratio fell to 1.07, down from 1.18 the previous week. This ratio hit a low at 0.94 on 7/14/10, which was the lowest since 0.82 on 4/1/09. The ratio has fallen substantially from its peak at 3.36 set on 1/13/10, which was the highest bullish sentiment in 6 years. The 20-year range is 0.41 to 3.74, the median is 1.51, and the mean is 1.57.
The Dow Theory suggests a Minor Ripple to the downside within a Primary Tide Bull Market, in my interpretation. Over the past 3 weeks, both Averages have been giving back most of the gains made in July. The Dow Theory last confirmed a Bullish Major Trend on 4/26/10, when both the Dow-Jones Industrial Average and the Dow-Jones Transportation Average closed above their closing price highs of the previous 18 months. The Dow Theory signaled the current Primary Tide Bull Market on 7/23/09, when both the Dow-Jones Industrial Average and the Dow-Jones Transportation Average closed above their closing price highs of the previous 6 months. That 7/23/09 bullish signal reversed the previous bearish signal: the two Averages signaled a Primary Tide Bear Market on 11/21/07, when both Averages closed below their closing price lows of August 2007.
S&P 500 Composite (SPX, 1,064.59) jumped up 17.37 points or 1.66% for its biggest gain in 3 weeks. Volume rose (but only modestly) and breadth (Advances minus Declines) was strong. SPX closed above 3-day highs but remains below a 3-week trendline as well as below falling 50 and 200 SMAs. A one-day rally by itself proves little, and the market may need to demonstrate upside follow-through in order to turn around investor confidence, which has fallen to a low level. One might question whether Friday’s rally attempt will be able to attract more of a following than other recent attempts. It still feels like a “show me” market. One of the problems is that, since April 2010, the high volume days have been down days, suggesting that supply of stocks for sale has dominated buying demand for stocks. The stock market has been consolidating in a trading range between the SPX 1131.23 high of 6/21/2010 and the SPX 1010.91 low of 7/1/2010. Without a strong bullish catalyst, further consolidation seems likely during the week ahead.
S&P 500 Cash Index Potential Resistance
1576.09, high of 10/11/2007
1552.76, high of 10/31/2007
1523.57, high of 12/11/2007
1498.85, high of 12/26/2007
1440.24, high of 5/19/2008
1406.32, high of 5/29/2008
1381.50, Fibonacci 78.6% of 2007-2009 range
1366.59, high of 6/17/2008
1335.63, high of 6/25/2008
1313.15, high of 8/11/2008
1274.42, high of 9/8/2008
1255.09, high of 9/12/2008
1238.81, Fibonacci 78.6% of 1,576.09 high
1228.74, Fibonacci 61.8% of 2007-2009 range
1220.03, high of 9/25/2008
1219.80, high of 4/26/2010
1173.57, high of 5/13/2010
1040.00, Fibonacci 61.8% of 2010 range
1131.23, high of 6/21/2010
1071.07, Gann 50.0% of June-Aug. 2010 range
1069.49, low of 8/16/10
S&P 500 Cash Index Potential Support
1039.70, low of 8/27/10
1039.31, Fibonacci 23.6% of June-Aug. 2010 range
1010.91, low of 7/1/2010
1008.55, Fibonacci 38.2% of 2009-2010 range
991.97, low of 9/2/2009
978.51, low of 8/17/2009
956.23, high of 6/11/2009
943.29, Gann 50.0% of 2009-2010 range
878.04, Fibonacci 61.8% of 2009-2010 range
874.17, Gann 62.5% of 2009-2010 range
869.32, low of 7/8/2009
805.17, Gann 75.0% of 2009-2010 range
785.13, Fibonacci 78.6% of 2009-2010 range
666.79, intraday low of 3/6/2009
One-Day Ranking of Major ETFs, Ranked from Strongest to Weakest of the Day:
% Price Change, ETF Name, Symbol
3.90% Brazil Index, EWZ
3.79% Metals & Mining SPDR, XME
3.52% Australia Index, EWA
3.26% Basic Materials DJ US, IYM
3.16% Sweden Index, EWD
3.09% WilderHill Clean Energy PS, PBW
3.05% Thailand MSCI iS, THD
2.99% Materials SPDR, XLB
2.98% Value SmallCap S&P 600, RZV
2.97% Microcap Russell, IWC
2.91% Oil, Crude, U.S. Oil Fund, USO
2.90% Homebuilders SPDR, XHB
2.88% Spain Index, EWP
2.85% Latin Am 40, ILF
2.81% Natural Resource iS GS, IGE
2.77% Energy VIPERs, VDE
2.73% Energy DJ, IYE
2.70% Growth SmallCap R 2000, IWO
2.65% Canada Index, EWC
2.64% Growth SmallCap VIPERs, VBK
2.61% SmallCap Russell 2000, IWM
2.60% Energy SPDR, XLE
2.59% Belgium Index, EWK
2.56% Turkey MSCI iS, TUR
2.54% Value SmallCap Russell 2000, IWN
2.53% Value SmallCap S&P 600 B, IJS
2.52% Value SmallCap VIPERS, VBR
2.52% Growth BARRA Small Cap 600, IJT
2.51% Small Cap VIPERs, VB
2.48% Semiconductor SPDR, XSD
2.46% Pacific ex-Japan, EPP
2.45% Russia MV, RSX
2.42% SmallCap S&P 600, IJR
2.38% Water Resources, PHO
2.37% Energy Global, IXC
2.33% Netherlands Index, EWN
2.31% EMU Europe Index, EZU
2.28% European VIPERs, VGK
2.24% Financials VIPERs, VFH
2.21% Semiconductor iS GS, IGW
2.20% Emerging Markets, EEM
2.17% MidCap S&P 400 SPDRs, MDY
2.17% France Index, EWQ
2.16% Austria Index, EWO
2.16% Mexico Index, EWW
2.16% Financial SPDR, XLF
2.16% Transportation Av DJ, IYT
2.13% Growth MidCap 400 B, IJK
2.13% MidCap S&P 400 iS, IJH
2.12% Global ex US ACWI iS, ACWX
2.10% Value MidCap S&P 400 B, IJJ
2.10% Financial DJ US, IYF
2.09% Italy Index, EWI
2.09% MidCap Russell, IWR
2.08% Small Cap EAFE MSCI iS, SCZ
2.08% Emerging 50 BLDRS, ADRE
2.06% Value EAFE MSCI, EFV
2.05% Financial Services DJ, IYG
2.03% Emerging VIPERs, VWO
2.03% Value MidCap Russell, IWS
2.02% Industrial SPDR, XLI
1.99% Growth EAFE MSCI, EFG
1.98% China LargeCap Growth G D H USX PS, PGJ
1.96% EAFE Index, EFA
1.96% Europe 350 S&P Index, IEV
1.94% Dividend International, PID
1.93% Growth MidCap Russell, IWP
1.91% China 25 iS, FXI
1.90% Utilities SPDR, XLU
1.89% Networking, IGN
1.81% LargeCap Blend S&P=Weight R, RSP
1.81% LargeCap Blend Russell 3000, IWV
1.81% United Kingdom Index, EWU
1.80% Dividend High Yield Equity PS, PEY
1.78% Utilities VIPERs, VPU
1.76% Germany Index, EWG
1.76% Global 100, IOO
1.75% Value 1000 Russell, IWD
1.73% Pacific VIPERs, VPL
1.72% Blend Total Market VIPERs, VTI
1.72% Value VIPERs, VTV
1.71% Commodity Tracking, DBC
1.70% Value S&P 500 B, IVE
1.67% LargeCap VIPERs, VV
1.66% Dividend DJ Select, DVY
1.66% REIT VIPERs, VNQ
1.66% LargeCap 1000 R, IWB
1.65% Capital Markets KWB ST, KCE
1.65% DIAMONDS (DJIA), DIA
1.62% Consumer Discretionary SPDR, XLY
1.59% Real Estate US DJ, IYR
1.59% Growth 1000 Russell, IWF
1.58% Singapore Index, EWS
1.57% Growth S&P 500/BARRA, IVW
1.57% Growth VIPERs, VUG
1.55% S&P 500 SPDRs LargeCap Blend, SPY
1.54% Realty Cohen & Steers, ICF
1.53% S&P 500 iS LargeCap Blend, IVV
1.53% Dividend SPDR, SDY
1.53% South Africa Index, EZA
1.51% Switzerland Index, EWL
1.46% Dividend Appreciation Vipers, VIG
1.45% REIT Wilshire, RWR
1.41% Info Tech VIPERs, VGT
1.39% Taiwan Index, EWT
1.39% South Korea Index, EWY
1.36% LargeCap Blend S&P 100, OEF
1.33% Malaysia Index, EWM
1.28% Japan Index, EWJ
1.26% Chile MSCI iS, ECH
1.22% Technology DJ US, IYW
1.22% Growth LargeCap NASDAQ 100, QQQQ
1.20% Technology SPDR, XLK
1.18% Value LargeCap Dynamic PS, PWV
1.03% Health Care SPDR, XLV
0.99% Biotech SPDR, XBI
0.95% Telecom DJ US, IYZ
0.93% Agriculture DB PS, DBA
0.88% Hong Kong Index, EWH
0.81% India PS, PIN
0.64% Consumer Staples SPDR, XLP
0.59% Silver Trust iS, SLV
0.48% Preferred Stock iS, PFF
0.43% India Earnings WTree, EPI
0.34% Financial Preferred, PGF
0.30% Indonesia MV, IDX
0.04% Gold Shares S.T., GLD
-0.01% Bond Muni ATM-Free S&P iS, MUB
-0.01% Bond, High-Yield Corporate, HYG
-0.07% Bond, 1-3 Year Treasury, SHY
-0.12% Bond Ex-US Treas, BWX
-0.29% Bond EmrgMkt JPM iS, EMB
-0.55% Bond, Aggregate, AGG
-0.59% Bond, TIPS, TIP
-0.90% Bond, Corp, LQD
-1.15% Bond, 10 Year Treasury, IEF
-2.83% Bond, 20+ Years Treasury, TLT
