Current Long Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): QCOM Oct 60 Calls, AAPL Sept 420 Calls, Sept 124 Calls
Current Short Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): None
BIAS:8% Long
Economic Reports Due Out (Times are EST): MBA Purchase Applications (7am), Wholesale Trade (10am), EIA Petroleum Status Report (10:30am), Treasury Budget (2pm)
My Observations and What to Expect:
- Futures are down about 1% heading into the open.
- Asian markets were up about 1.5% on average, and Europe is experiencing gains of about 0.9% on average.
- The S&P, in the final hour bounced 70+ points in the final hour of trading in response to the FOMC Statement from yesterday.
- I am still of the thought that we will see a massive short-squeeze from here, and that the one hour of as much yesterday’s last hour of trading is not nearly enough of a short squeeze.
- A move back above S&P 1200 would be huge for the bulls psychologically and also wipe out Monday’s move as well as last Friday’s.
- If this is a dead-cat bounce, then we will a move that takes us somewhere between current price levels and as high as 1250 (just below the March lows).
- We managed to get back inside of the lower bollinger band for the first time in six trading sessions – though just barely. But we are still well outside the lower BB on the weekly chart.
- Yesterday’s volume was incredibly high, just a shade lower than the high volume mark from Monday’s session.
- S&P bounced off of the highs of last Summer, which is now acting as support.
- 1040 on the S&P is the next significant support level for the market – and it is a major one.
- My Conclusion: Bulls can’t afford to give up any of their gains today – need to press the bears to further cover their short positions like we saw in the final hour yesterday. A sell-off today, would re-invigorate the bears.
Here Are The Actions I’m Taking:
- I’ll look to day-trade bounce plays and a few breakouts
- A lot of money is flowing into the high-yield plays – which should provide some nice opportunities in the days ahead.
- Will look to unload a number of my options positions this week should the market continue to spike higher.
- Follow me in the SharePlanner Chat-Room today for all my live trades and ideas (as well as everyone else’s).
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