By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD is trading at 1.0035. The CAD weakened on a surprise drop in GDP, markets had expected a drop to 0.2% which was the forecast, when the actual release showed a drop to 0.1%.

Following the release of Canada’s GDP report for May, the Canadian dollar remained weaker against its major opponents. The loonie was trading at 1.2333 against the euro, 1.0030 against the greenback and 77.97 against the yen.

The Canadian economy expanded 0.1 percent in the month and 2.4 percent on the year in May. Analysts had expected the growth slow to 0.2 percent in the month. Annually, the economy was expected to expand 2.6 percent from 2.0 percent growth recorded in the previous month.

With little other data and the Canadian economy dependent on the US there is not much to support the CAD.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Economic Data July 31, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jul. 31

KRW

South Korean Industrial Production (YoY)

1.6%

1.5%

2.6%

KRW

South Korean Industrial Production (MoM)

-0.4%

-0.1%

1.3%

JPY

Unemployment Rate

4.3%

4.4%

4.4%

AUD

Building Approvals (MoM)

-2.5%

-14.2%

27.0%

INR

Indian Interest Rate Decision

8.00%

8.00%

8.00%

EUR

French Consumer Spending (MoM)

0.1%

0.1%

0.5%

DKK

Danish Unemployment Rate

4.60%

4.60%

4.50%

HUF

Hungarian Quarterly Unemployment Rate

10.90%

11.20%

EUR

German Unemployment Rate

6.8%

6.8%

6.8%

EUR

German Unemployment Change

7K

10K

7K

ILS

Israeli Quarterly Unemployment Rate

7.00%

6.90%

EUR

CPI (YoY)

2.4%

2.4%

2.4%

EUR

Unemployment Rate

11.2%

11.2%

11.2%

USD

Core PCE Price Index (MoM)

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

CAD

GDP (MoM)

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

USD

Personal Spending (MoM)

0.0%

0.1%

-0.1%

USD

Employment Cost Index (QoQ)

0.5%

0.5%

0.4%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Aug 1

12:15

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

176K

14:00

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

49.7

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

2.7M

18:15

USD

FOMC Statement

18:15

USD

Federal Funds Rate

Aug 2

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

353K

14:00

USD

Factory Orders m/m

0.7%

Aug 3

12:30

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

80K

12:30

USD

Unemployment Rate

8.2%

12:30

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

0.3%

14:00

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

52.1

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CAD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Aug 01 09:30 Germany

Aug 01 10:00 Norway

Aug 01 13:00 US

Aug 02 08:30 Spain

Click here to read USD/CAD Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here