By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD is trading at the open of the US session at 1.0195. Although the CAD had some strong eco data today with housing starts reporting (see chart) well above the forecast of 205K it had little impact on the currency.

CAD has remained relatively flat on a month-to-date basis, as data releases in both Canada and the US have remained mild and as CAD drivers – oil and equities – have been supported by renewed central bank activism and reduced volatility.

USDCAD has remained bound within a relatively tight, 120-point range, since the EU summit from late June, a narrow range when recent market developments are considered.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data July 10, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jul. 10

GBP

RICS House Price Balance

-22%

-16%

-17%

AUD

NAB Business Confidence

-3

-2

CNY

Chinese Trade Balance

31.73B

21.00B

18.70B

DKK

Danish CPI (YoY)

2.20%

2.20%

2.10%

NOK

Norwegian Core Inflation (MoM)

-0.30%

0.10%

0.40%

NOK

Norwegian CPI (MoM)

-0.50%

-0.10%

0.00%

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM)

1.0%

-0.2%

-0.4%

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM)

1.2%

0.1%

-0.8%

GBP

Trade Balance

-8.4B

-9.0B

-9.7B

GBP

Industrial Production (YoY)

-1.6%

-2.1%

-2.0%

CAD

Housing Starts

222.7K

205.0K

217.4K

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

-0.2%

0.1%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CAD and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Jul 11

12:30

CAD

Trade Balance

-0.4B

12:30

USD

Trade Balance

-50.1B

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-4.3M

Jul 12

12:30

CAD

NHPI m/m

0.2%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

12:30

USD

Import Prices m/m

-1.0%

18:00

USD

Federal Budget Balance

-124.6B

Jul 13

12:30

USD

PPI m/m

-1.0%

13:55

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

73.2

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jul 11 09:30 Germany

Jul 11 09:30 Swiss

Jul 11 17:00 US

Jul 12 09:10 Italy

Jul 12 09:30 UK

Jul 12 15:00 US

Jul 12 17:00 US

Jul 13 09:10 Italy

Jul 13 10:00 Belgium

Click here a current USD/CAD Chart.

Originally posted here