By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD drifted downward on negative USD sentiment. After several eco reports supported the overall slowdown of the US economic the greenback retreated.

In Canada today the OECD released it notes that Canada has appropriately accommodative monetary policy, but should stand ready to react to signs of inflation; while boosting innovation should be a key focus which will help to improve productivity. The BoC will release the June issue of the Financial System Review, with three articles including one on systemically important financial institutions another on elevated household debt and a third on central counterparty for the fixed income market. None of these are likely to be market moving.

Some stability across markets and a moderation in risk aversion are positive for CAD. Most indicators suggest that we are not moving towards a replay of the spike in risk aversion in the summer of 2011 (when USDCAD jumped from 0.95 to 1.06) nor are we moving towards a repeat of the 2010 experience (when USDCAD jumped from 0.9931 to 1.0850).

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data June 14, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Time

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 14

05:30

Industrial Production (MoM)

-0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

08:30

Interest Rate Decision

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

08:30

SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan speaks

09:00

ECB Monthly Report

10:00

CPI (YoY)

2.4%

2.4%

2.4%

10:00

Core CPI (YoY)

1.6%

1.6%

1.6%

13:30

Core CPI (MoM)

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

13:30

CPI (MoM)

-0.3%

-0.2%

0.0%

13:30

Current Account

-137.3B

-132.3B

-118.7B

13:30

Initial Jobless Claims

386K

375K

380K

13:30

Continuing Jobless Claims

3278K

3269K

3311K

13:30

CPI (YoY)

1.7%

1.8%

2.3%

13:30

Core CPI (YoY)

2.3%

2.2%

2.3%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Jun 15

8:30

GBP

Trade Balance

-8.6B

12:30

USD

Empire State Manufacturing Index

17.1

13:00

USD

TIC Long-Term Purchases

36.2B

13:15

USD

Capacity Utilization Rate

79.2%

13:15

USD

Industrial Production m/m

1.1%

13:55

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

79.3

Click here to read USD/CAD Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here