By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD is trading at 1.0224 with very little movement in this pair. Investors are beginning to prepare their positions for a volatile trading period beginning on Monday, many are withdrawing to the sidelines or moving to the safety of gold or the JPY. As the DX continues to drop in disappointing eco data from the US.

Today, Empire Manufacturing fell below forecast which was offset by negative manufacturing data in Canada.

However it is global markets and the broader move in the USD that is currently driving CAD traders. As argued above, markets appear to be stabilizing on both a risk and pricing front, which is positive for CAD. In addition, next week’s Fed meeting is likely to appear particularly dovish when pitted against the BoC’s relatively hawkish tone, also supporting CAD

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data June 15, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 15

JPY

Interest Rate Decision

0.10%

0.10%

0.10%

GBP

Trade Balance

-10.1B

-8.5B

-8.7B

EUR

Employment Change (QoQ)

-0.2%

-0.2%

-0.3%

CAD

Manufacturing Sales (MoM)

-0.80%

1.00%

1.90%

USD

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

2.3

13.0

17.1

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CAD and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun 18

12:30

CAD

Foreign Securities Purchases

-2.08B

Day 1

ALL

G20 Meetings

Jun 19

12:30

CAD

Wholesale Sales m/m

0.4%

12:30

USD

Building Permits

0.72M

12:30

USD

Housing Starts

0.72M

Day 2

ALL

G20 Meetings

Jun 20

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-0.2M

16:30

USD

FOMC Statement

16:30

USD

Federal Funds Rate

18:00

USD

FOMC Economic Projections

18:15

USD

FOMC Press Conference

Jun 21

12:30

CAD

Core Retail Sales m/m

0.1%

12:30

CAD

Retail Sales m/m

0.4%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

386K

13:00

USD

Flash Manufacturing PMI

54.0

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.62M

14:00

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

-5.8

Jun 22

12:30

CAD

CPI m/m

0.4%

Click here a current USD/CAD Chart.

Originally posted here