By FXEmpire.com

USD/CNY Fundamental Analysis April 11, 2012 Forecast

USD/CNY Fundamental Analysis April 11, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation: (close of Asian session)

The USD/CNY is trading at 6.3084 as the USD lost ground after the negative employment reports

Chinese CPI rose 3.6 per cent in March from a year earlier, compared to a rise of 3.2 per cent in February.

Chinese balance of trade figures are expected on Tuesday, and gross domestic product data is due on Friday.

Economic Data for April 9-10, 2012 actual v. forecast

Apr. 09

JPY

Adjusted Current Account

0.85T

0.66T

0.14T

CNY

Chinese CPI (YoY)

3.6%

3.3%

3.2%

CNY

Chinese PPI (YoY)

-0.3%

-0.2%

0.0%

JPY

Economy Watchers Current Index

51.8

46.5

45.9

RUB

Russian Interest Rate Decision

8.00%

8.00%

8.00%

TRY

Turkish Industrial Production (YoY)

4.40%

3.50%

1.50%

TWD

Taiwanese Trade Balance

2.36B

2.19B

2.83B

EUR

Greek CPI (YoY)

1.70%

2.10%

EUR

Greek Industrial Production (YoY)

-8.30%

-5.00%

EUR

Portuguese Trade Balance

-2.88B

-3.08B

USD

CB Employment Trends Index

107.28

107.47

USD

3-Month Bill Auction

0.085%

0.075%

USD

6-Month Bill Auction

0.150%

0.140%

Apr. 10

GBP

RICS House Price Balance

-10%

-12%

-13%

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

AUD

AIG Construction Index

36.2

35.6

AUD

NAB Business Confidence

3

1

MYR

Malaysian Trade Balance

10.58B

9.20B

8.75B

MYR

Malaysian Industrial Production (YoY)

7.5%

6.5%

0.3%

Economic Events for April, 11, 2012

02:30 AUD Home Loans (MoM) -3.5% -1.2%

Home Loans record the change in the number of new loans granted for owner-occupied homes. It is a leading indicator of demand in the housing market.

13:30 USD Import Price Index (MoM) 0.8% 0.4%

The Import Price Index measures the change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically.

19:00 USD Federal Budget Balance -201.5B -232.0B

The Federal Budget Balance measures the difference in value between the federal government’s income and expenditure during the reported month. A positive number indicates a budget surplus; a negative number indicates a deficit.

Government Bond Auctions April 10-20, 2012

Apr 11 09:10 Italy BOT auction

Apr 11 09:30 Germany Eur 5.0bn new Jul 2022 Bund

Apr 11 09:10 Sweden Sek 5.0bn Jul 2012 & Sek 5.0bn Sep 2012 T-bills

Apr 11 09:30 Swiss Bond auction

Apr 11 09:30 UK Gbp 4.5bn 1.0% Sep 2017 Conventional Gilt

Apr 11 10:00 Norway Details T-bill auction on Apr 16

Apr 11 14:30 Sweden Details nominal bond auction on Apr 18

Apr 11 17:00 US Auctions 10Y Notes

Apr 12 09:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auction

Apr 12 09:30 UK Gbp 2.0bn 4.25% Jun 2032 Conventional Gilt

Apr 12 15:00 US Announces auction of 5Y TIPS on Apr 19

Apr 12 17:00 US Auctions 30Y Bonds

Apr 13 10:00 Belgium OLO mini bond auction

Apr 16-30 n/a UK Re-opened 3.75% 2052 Conventional Gilt syndication

Apr 16 09:10 Slovakia Auctions floating rate Nov 2016 & 4.35% Oct 2025 & Bonds

Apr 16 09:10 Norway T-bill auction

Apr 17 08:30 Spain 12 & 18M T-bill auction

Apr 17 09:30 Belgium Auctions 3 & 12M T-bills

Apr 18 09:10 Sweden Nominal bond auction

Apr 18 09:30 Germany Eur 5.0bn 0.25% Mar 2014 Schatz

Apr 18 14:30 Sweden Details T-bill auction on Apr 25

Apr 19 08:30 Spain Obligacion auction

Apr 19 08:50 France BTAN auction

Apr 19 09:30 UK Auctions 0.125% I/L Gilt 2029

Apr 19 09:50 France OATi auction

Apr 19 15:00 US Announces 2Y Notes on Apr 24, 5Y Notes on Apr 25 & 7Y Notes on Apr 26

Apr 19 17:00 US Auctions 5Y TIPS

Apr 20 15:30 Italy Details CTZ/BTPei on Apr 24 & BOT on Apr 26

Originally posted here