By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendation:
The USD/JPY stood at 78.18 yen against the U.S. dollar on Monday, off a 3-1/2 month high of 77.65 yen hit on Friday. It stood at 96.99 against the euro, after climbing to its highest since December 2000 of around 95.59 yen on Friday.
Investors continued to head for the relative safety of bonds after weak U.S. jobs data on Friday sparked a global stampede out of equities and hit the euro and some risky currencies hard.
If the European situation worsens, then the global interest rate and policy solutions would require coordinated actions by the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve to assure access to U.S. dollar money markets, otherwise risk a contraction in global trade.
U.S. job growth slowed sharply for a third straight month in May and the jobless rate rose for the first time in nearly a year, with 69,000 jobs added to payrolls last month, the least since May last year. As well, 49,000 fewer jobs were created in the previous two months than had been thought.
We may even see more talk of the need for additional quantitative easing the data had given ammunition to doves ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy meeting on June 19-20.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data DATE, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Currency |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Jun. 04 |
JPY |
Monetary Base (YoY) |
2.4% |
0.2% |
-0.3% |
|
AUD |
MI Inflation Gauge (MoM) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
||
|
AUD |
Company Gross Profits (QoQ) |
-4.0% |
-2.0% |
-6.5% |
|
|
AUD |
ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) |
-2.40% |
-0.80% |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Jun 5 |
1:30 |
AUD |
Current Account |
-8.4B |
|
4:30 |
AUD |
Cash Rate |
3.75% |
3.75% |
|
4:30 |
AUD |
RBA Rate Statement |
||
|
14:00 |
USD |
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
53.5 |
|
|
Jun 6 |
1:30 |
AUD |
GDP q/q |
0.4% |
|
12:30 |
USD |
Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q |
-0.5% |
|
|
14:30 |
USD |
Crude Oil Inventories |
||
|
18:00 |
USD |
Beige Book |
||
|
Jun 7 |
1:30 |
AUD |
Employment Change |
4.9% |
|
1:30 |
AUD |
Unemployment Rate |
15.5K |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Unemployment Claims |
383K |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies |
||
|
23:50 |
JPY |
Current Account |
0.79T |
|
|
23:50 |
JPY |
Final GDP q/q |
1.0% |
|
|
Jun 8 |
1:30 |
AUD |
Trade Balance |
-1.59B |
|
1:30 |
AUD |
Home Loans m/m |
0.3% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Trade Balance |
-51.8B |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Jun 05 00:30 Japan
Jun 05 09:30 Belgium
Jun 05 14:30 Sweden
Jun 06 09:30 Germany
Jun 06 09:30 Portugal
Jun 06 14:30 UK
Jun 07 00:30 Japan
Jun 07 08:30 Spain
Jun 07 08:50 France
Jun 07 09:10 Sweden
Jun 07 15:00 US
Jun 08 10:00 Belgium
Jun 08 15:30 Italy
Click here a current USD/JPY Chart.
Originally posted here
