By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendation:

The USD/JPY continues strong trading at 78.43. The dollar fell to levels around 78 yen in Tokyo trading Monday following dismal U.S. jobs data, but the downside was supported by growing wariness over possible yen-selling intervention by Japanese authorities.

The USD was quoted at 77.99-78.00 yen, down from 78.49-50 yen at the same time Friday. The euro was at 1 dollars.2416-2417, against 1 dollars.2348-2348 dollars, and at 96.84-87 yen, against 96.93-94 yen.

The dollar dipped below 78 yen in late trading after moving mostly in a tight range just above that level earlier in the day.

Traders remained wary that Japanese authorities could intervene in the currency market in a bid to stem the yen’s rise. “Traders are so cautious that they cannot sell [the dollar] further,” a Japanese bank official said.

The cautious mood was enhanced after central bank Gov. Masaaki Shirakawa said in a speech that he is closely watching the yen’s movements, traders said.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data June 4 – 5, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

EUR

Sentix Investor Confidence

-28.9

-29.1

-24.5

USD

Factory Orders m/m

-0.6%

0.3%

-2.1%

AUD

AIG Services Index

43.5

39.6

Jun 5

AUD

Current Account

-14.9B

-14.1B

-9.6B

AUD

Cash Rate

3.50%

3.50%

3.75%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Jun 6

1:30

AUD

GDP q/q

0.4%

12:30

USD

Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q

-0.5%

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

18:00

USD

Beige Book

Jun 7

1:30

AUD

Employment Change

4.9%

1:30

AUD

Unemployment Rate

15.5K

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

383K

14:00

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies

23:50

JPY

Current Account

0.79T

23:50

JPY

Final GDP q/q

1.0%

Jun 8

1:30

AUD

Trade Balance

-1.59B

1:30

AUD

Home Loans m/m

0.3%

12:30

USD

Trade Balance

-51.8B

14:00

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jun 06 09:30 Germany

Jun 06 09:30 Portugal

Jun 06 14:30 UK

Jun 07 00:30 Japan

Jun 07 08:30 Spain

Jun 07 08:50 France

Jun 07 09:10 Sweden

Jun 07 15:00 US

Jun 08 10:00 Belgium

Jun 08 15:30 Italy

Click here a current USD/JPY Chart.

Originally posted here