By FX Empire.com
Economic Events: (GMT)
00:30 AUD Building Approvals (MoM) 2.1% -1.0%
Building Approvals (also known as Building Permits) measures the change in the number of new building approvals issued by the government. Building permits are key indicator of demand in the housing market.
00:30 AUD Private New Capital Expenditure (QoQ) 3.9% 12.3%
Private New Capital Expenditure measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of new capital expenditures made by private businesses. It is a leading indicator of economic health.
13:30 USD Core PCE Price Index (MoM) 0.2% 0.2%
The Core Personal Consumption spending (PCE) Price Index measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption, excluding food and energy. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item. It measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.
13:30 USD Personal Spending (MoM) 0.4% 0.0%
Personal Spending measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all spending by consumers. Consumer spending accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. However, this report tends to have a mild impact, as government data on retail sales is released about two weeks earlier.
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 353K 351K
13:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims 3400K 3392K
Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. This is the earliest U.S. economic data, but the market impact varies from week to week. Continuing Jobless Claims measures the number of unemployed individuals who qualify for benefits under unemployment insurance.
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Index 54.6 54.1
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rates the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories.
The data is compiled from a survey of approximately 400 purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.
On the index, a level above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.
15:00 USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke (February 2006 – January 2014) is to testify on the economic outlook and recent monetary policy actions before the Joint Economic Committee, in Washington DC. The testimony is in two parts; the first is a prepared statement, then the committee conducts a question and answer session. The Q&A portion of the testimony can see heavy market volatility for the duration.
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate 4.5% 4.6%
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. The data tends to have a muted impact relative to employment data from other countries because the Japanese economy is more reliant on the industrial sector than personal spending.
23:30 JPY Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) -0.4% -0.4%
The Tokyo Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers in Tokyo, excluding fresh food.
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis March 1, 2012, Forecast
Analysis and Recommendation: (close of Asian session)
USD/JPY opened at 80.46 and is currently trading at the end of the session at 80.45 staying in a tight range.
Investors are awaiting the ECB’s offer of cheap cash, seen at around half a trillion euros, to that region’s lenders. The ECB’s second tranche of lending may stimulate Europe’s economy, lifting prospects for global growth and growth-linked assets such as the Yen, improving exports and trade balances which hit historic numbers this month. Investors have been ditching the USD in favor of more risky currencies with positive sentiment in Europe and a drawback in oil prices. The USD has weakened also due to some disappointing data yesterday showing a drop in home prices and a report in orders of durable goods coming under forecast.
Japan and South Korea reported larger-than-forecast industrial production in January amid a strengthening US recovery and signs that Europe’s sovereign- debt crisis may be contained. Japanese output rose 2 percent from the previous month
Retail sales exceeded economists’ forecasts in January, signaling that a recovery in consumer spending will help the economy return to growth this quarter. Sales raised 1.9 percent from the same month a year ago, after a 2.5 percent increase in December, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said
The economy shrank a yearly rate 2.3 percent in the final three months of last year, RBS Securities Japan Ltd. has forecast an expansion of 1.6 percent this quarter.
February 28 & 29th, Economic Releases actual v. forecast
|
Feb. 28 |
EUR |
GfK German Consumer Climate |
6.0 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
|
CHF |
Employment Level |
4.04M |
4.03M |
4.05M |
|
|
EUR |
Italian 10-Year BTP Auction |
4.19% |
6.47% |
||
|
GBP |
CBI Distributive Trades Survey |
-2 |
-14 |
-22 |
|
|
USD |
Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) |
-3.2% |
0.0% |
2.1% |
|
|
USD |
Durable Goods Orders (MoM) |
-4.0% |
-0.8% |
3.2% |
|
|
EUR |
German CPI (MoM) |
0.7% |
0.5% |
-0.4% |
|
|
USD |
CB Consumer Confidence |
70.8 |
63.0 |
61.5 |
|
|
CHF |
SNB Board Member Jordan Speaks | ||||
|
NZD |
Building Consents (MoM) |
8.3% |
3.4% |
2.6% |
|
|
KRW |
South Korean Industrial Production (YoY) |
-2.0% |
-3.0% |
2.9% |
|
|
JPY |
Industrial Production (MoM) |
2.0% |
1.5% |
3.8% |
|
|
Feb. 29 |
AUD |
HIA New Home Sales (MoM) |
-7.3% |
-4.9% |
|
|
AUD |
Construction Work Done (QoQ) |
-4.6% |
-0.6% |
11.7% |
|
|
AUD |
Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.3% |
0.3% |
-0.1% |
|
|
INR |
Indian GDP (YoY) |
6.1% |
6.2% |
6.9% |
Sovereign Bond Auction Schedule
Mar 01 09:30 Spain Bono auction
Mar 01 09:50 France OAT auction
Mar 01 10.30 UK Auctions 4.0% 2022 conventional Gilt
Originally posted here
