By FX Empire.com

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis March 19, 2012, Forecast

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis March 19, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation: (close of Asian session)

USD/JPY ends the day where it began, opening at 83.58 and closing at 83.56. The USD lost strength throughout the day, as investors moved to more risky currencies. Followed by the Yen falling as the BoJ policy statement was released. The Dollar picked up all week against the Yen. The pair should hold tight through Monday’s session as not much news or data is expected.

Released Economic Reports for March 15, 2012 actual v. forecast

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

CHF

Interest Rate Decision

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

EUR

ECB Monthly Report

EUR

Employment Change (QoQ)

-0.2%

-0.2%

-0.2%

USD

Core PPI (MoM)

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

USD

PPI (MoM)

0.4%

0.5%

0.1%

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

351K

356K

365K

USD

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

20.2

17.4

19.5

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims

3343K

3405K

3424K

USD

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

101.0B

29.3B

19.1B

USD

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

12.5

11.4

10.2

Economic Events for March 19, 2012

02:00 AUD RBA Governor Stevens Speaks

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Glenn Stevens (September 2006 – September 2013) is to speak. As the head of the RBA, which sets short term interest rates, he has a major influence over the value of the Australian dollar. Traders watch his speeches closely as they are often used to drop subtle hints regarding future monetary policy and interest rate shifts.

Government Bond Auctions (this week)
Mar 19 n/a Greece CDS Auction

Mar 19 10:10 Slovakia Bond auction

Mar 19 10:10 Norway T-bill auction

Mar 20 09:30 Spain 12 & 18M T-bill auction

Mar 21 10:10 Sweden Nominal bond auction

Mar 21 10:30 Germany Eur 5.0bn Mar 2014 Schatz

Mar 21 10:30 Portugal Eur 0.75-1.0bn 4 & 6M T-bills

Mar 22 10:10 Sweden I/L bond auction

Mar 22 10.30 UK Auctions 0.625% 2042 I/L Gilt

Mar 22 15:00 US

Announces auctions of 2Y Notes on Mar 27, 5Y Notes on Mar

28 & 7Y Notes on Mar 29

Mar 22 17:00 US Auctions 10Y TIPS

Mar 23 10:10 Sweden I/L bond exchange auction

Mar 23 16:30 Italy Details CTZ/BTPei on Mar 27 & BOT on Mar 28

Originally posted here