By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendation: (close of Asian session)

The USD/JPY continues to move up trading at 79.92. The JPY was able to power past the USD to gain the upper hand in the safe haven battle. BoJ members have warned the markets about speculation in the JPY, it is quite possible that the Bank of Japan will step in and intervene. It is a negative for the Japanese economy for the yen to be excessively strong.

The USD and JPY have gained in excess of 0.3% against their counterparts.

Risk aversion is the emphasis of market participants. Gold and Crude oil as well as most commodities and commodity currencies continue to suffer.

For speculators in Asian currencies, it bears asking how the current iteration of Eurozone related stress stacks up in this context. Currently financial market volatility intensification is only in its infancy, as the VIX index is just breaking to a new three month high. Ahead of the late summer 2011 breakout we constructed an index in order to measure the degree of risk of an Asian currency move lower against the USD

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which cover the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins.

Economic Data May 14 – 15, 2012 actual v. forecast

EUR

Finnish CPI (YoY)

3.10%

2.90%

CHF

PPI (MoM)

-0.1%

0.3%

0.3%

EUR

Dutch Retail Sales (YoY)

2.20%

1.10%

EUR

Industrial Production (MoM)

-0.3%

0.4%

0.8%

EUR

Italian 10-Year BTP Auction

5.66%

5.84%

May 15

EUR

French CPI (MoM)

0.1%

0.3%

0.8%

EUR

French GDP (QoQ)

0.0%

-0.1%

0.1%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

May 16

01:30

AUD

Westpac Consumer Sentiment

-1.60%

02:30

AUD

Wage Price Index (QoQ)

1.0%

23:45

NZD

PPI Input (QoQ)

0.5%

May 17

00:50

JPY

GDP (QoQ)

0.9%

-0.2%

05:30

JPY

Industrial Production (MoM)

1.0%

Originally posted here