By FXEmpire.com

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis April 20, 2012 Forecast

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis April 20, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation: (close of Asian session)

The AUD/USD has fallen by a third of a US cent after a private sector survey showed domestic business confidence fell in the first three months of 2012.

The currency was trading at 103.58 US cents, down from 103.85 US cents on Wednesday afternoon.

It has traded in a narrow range of between 103.50 US cents and 103.88 US cents.

The Aussie slipped late on Thursday morning after a survey showed a drop in business confidence.

The NAB business survey showed confidence fell into negative territory at minus one point in the March quarter, from plus one point in the previous quarter. The result indicates the number of businesses who are negative about the outlook outweigh those who are positive.

The Aussie has been trading a little bit directionless this week and that survey has pushed it a little lower today.

Economic Data for April 18 & 19, 2012 actual v. forecast

GBP

Average Earnings Index +Bonus

1.1%

1.3%

1.3%

GBP

Claimant Count Change

3.6K

7.0K

4.5K

GBP

MPC Meeting Minutes

NZD

CPI (QoQ)

0.5%

0.6%

-0.3%

Apr. 19

JPY

Trade Balance

-0.62T

-0.43T

-0.32T

AUD

NAB Quarterly Business Confidence

-1.00

1.00

Economic Events scheduled for April 20, 2012 that affect the NZD, AUD, and JPY

13:00:00 G20 Meeting

Government Bond Auction Schedule:

Apr 20 15:30 Italy Details CTZ/BTPei on Apr 24 & BOT on Apr 26

Apr 23-27 n/a UK Re-opened 3.75% 2052 Conventional Gilt syndication (further details tba)

Apr 23 09:30 Germany Eur 3.0bn new Apr 2013 (12M) Bubill

Apr 23 10:00 Belgium OLO Auction cancelled

Apr 23 15:30 Italy Details BTP/CCTeu on Apr 27

Apr 24 00:30 Japan Auctions 20Y JGBs

Apr 24 08:30 Holland Eur 1.5-2.5bn Jul 2014 & Jan 2037 DSL auction

Apr 24 08:30 Spain 3 & 6M T-bill auction

Apr 24 09:10 Italy Auctions CTZ/BTPei

Apr 24 14:30 UK Details Conventional Gilt auction on May 01 & I/L auction on May 03

Apr 24 17:00 US Auctions 2Y Notes

Apr 25 09:10 Sweden Auctions T-bills

Apr 25 09:30 Germany Eur 3.0bn new Jul 2044 Bund

Apr 25 14:30 Sweden Details nominal bond auction on May 02

Apr 25 17:00 US Auctions 5Y Notes

Apr 26 00:30 Japan Auctions 2Y JGBs

Apr 26 09:10 Italy BOT auction

Apr 26 14:30 Sweden Details I/L bond auction on May 03

Apr 26 17:00 US Auctions 7Y Notes

Apr 27 09:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auction.

Originally posted here