By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold plummeted today, dropping by 37.25 to change hands at 1539.35.

Gold retreated for a second day as concern that Greece may leave the euro region strengthened the dollar, trimming demand for alternative investments. Silver, platinum and palladium declined. Spot gold fell as much as 0.9 percent after declining yesterday by the most in two weeks. Holdings in exchange-traded products shrank for the first time in four days to 2,383.967 metric tons.

European leaders are meeting today to discuss the region’s debt crisis that has wiped more than $4 trillion from equity markets worldwide this month. The dollar climbed to a 20- month high against a six-currency basket including the euro. June-delivery bullion fell for a third day on the Comex in New York, dropping as much as 1.4 percent to $1,540 an ounce and last trading at $1,539.35. Asian stocks and commodities including oil and copper retreated before European Union leaders gather in Brussels to discuss how to revive growth. Cash silver lost as much as 1.7 percent to $27.7175 an ounce and was last at $27.7825, extending the 1.9 percent drop in past two days

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data for May 23, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

May 23

JPY

Trade Balance

-0.48T

-0.60T

-0.62T

JPY

Interest Rate Decision

0.10%

0.10%

0.10%

GBP

Retail Sales (MoM)

-2.3%

-0.8%

2.0%

GBP

Retail Sales (YoY)

-1.1%

1.0%

3.1%

EUR

Industrial New Orders (MoM)

1.8%

-0.1%

-1.2%

GBP

CBI Industrial Trends Orders

-17

-10

-8

CAD

Core Retail Sales (MoM)

0.1%

1.0%

0.4%

CAD

Leading Indicators (MoM)

0.3%

0.3%

0.3%

CAD

Retail Sales (MoM)

0.4%

0.4%

-0.2%

USD

New Home Sales

343K

335K

332K

Just a heads up since gold is volatile and will react to most economic indicators we will begin to post the daily calendar with events that could affect the price of gold. The gold price is sensitive to a number of scheduled U.S. and Euro area macroeconomic announcements–including retail sales, non-farm payrolls, and inflation. Gold’s high sensitivity to real interest rates and its unique role as a safe-haven and store of value typically leads to a counter-cyclical reaction to surprise news, in contrast to their commodities. It also shows a particularly high sensitivity to negative surprises that might lead financial investors to become more risk averse.

These results have a number of implications. To reduce the uncertainty of the return on gold transactions, traders may wish to time their orders flow so as to avoid the release of information that has been shown to affect prices. For longer-term market participants, these results provide confirmation of the pro-cyclical bias of many commodities and gold’s role as a safe-haven during periods of economic uncertainty.

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

May 24

6:00

CHF

Trade Balance

1.69B

7:00

EUR

French Flash Manufacturing PMI

46.9

7:00

EUR

French Flash Services PMI

45.2

7:30

EUR

German Flash Manufacturing PMI

46.2

7:30

EUR

German Flash Services PMI

52.2

8:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate

109.9

8:00

EUR

Flash Manufacturing PMI

45.9

8:00

EUR

Flash Services PMI

46.9

8:30

GBP

Retail Sales m/m

1.8%

8:30

GBP

Revised GDP q/q

-0.2%

8:30

GBP

BBA Mortgage Approvals

31.9K

8:30

GBP

Prelim Business Investment q/q

-3.3%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

12:30

USD

Durable Goods Orders m/m

-4.0%

13:00

EUR

Belgium NBB Business Climate

-10.7

May 25

6:00

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate

5.6

7:15

CHF

Employment Level

4.04M

TBD

ALL

G8 Meetings

13:55

USD

Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment

Click here for updated Gold News.

Originally posted here