JOYG.jpgJOYG completed a Lo-Hi on a daily chart between Mar 2 and Jun 9, 2009.  This was a 5 wave move followed by an anticipated 3 wave retrace to the fibonacci 38.2%.  With the 38.2%  3 wave retrace we should feel fairly comfortable that JOYG has in fact completed a correction.  With the depth of correction between 38.2% and 61.8% we should feel confident that a strong 5 wave impulse bullish wave should follow.

 

We have seen the new bull wave 1, 7/10 – 7/23, followed by wave 2 retrace. The anticipated strongest and longest wave is the wave 3 that JOYG’s price is just entering. Wave 3 is the one I want to trade. 

 

There are 3 BUY points where I am looking for an entry.   The first and riskiest is the 

the first retrace, completion of wave 2 on 7/29.  The next entry should be  at a short pull back from resistance at $41.80 and the safest at the first retest of the new support, old resistance at $41.80.   The 1st buy point is a higher risk entry then the 2nd or 3rd but also could promise a greater return.  Likewise the 3rd entry point is the safest at the expense of not getting in on the start of the bullish impulse move.

3_Buy_Points.jpg

In my opinion, I anticipate a target price of $55.00 based on the next higher resistance level and projecting the previous wave forward..  Of course this is all predicated on a successful entry into the trade. Let’s set a stop below the first buy point  at $34.50.  My time scale indicates that I should be in at least the October  CALL options.  

 

Please NOTE:  The proceeding is intended as a discussion and in no way am I recommending a trade in JOYG.