3 New Market Themes Under Trump
Since the election, the US Five Year Treasury yield has soared over 40 bps from around 1.25% to...
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Author: Alex Manzarra
Good luck to the next President
This note is written prior to the election results. Just a few points to make that are more...
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The Important Question to ask about AMZN
The Russell2000 small cap index is breaking down, and yesterday closed at the low, breaking down...
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The Fed in 2017
In the hiking cycle from 2004 to 2006, the Fed raised rates by 25 bps at every FOMC meeting taking...
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Secret Clues In Crude Oil and Corporate Credit Spreads
The below charts are not exactly a mirror image, but the rally in high yield has been pretty...
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The Dance between the Fed and Market Expectations
Today [Wednesday], the Fed releases minutes from the September 20/21 FOMC meeting. We already know...
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Trading Lessons from Natural Disasters
When I was a kid working on the floor of the CBOT, the way it was explained to me was,...
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Oil and Inflation
October 4, 2016The price of oil is of huge importance to the US economy. Sure, there have been...
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Has The Fed Lost Its Credibility?
One official hike last December, one stealth hike over the past 3 monthsOn Wednesday the FOMC...
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Global Ten Year Yields and the Curve
For a while, every time a Fed official would talk about hiking, the curve would flatten. To give...
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