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Author: David Merkel

Debt Junkies

Our problems today stem from too much debt, both personal and governmental. When enough of the populace is overindebted, they become conservative in spending. When corporations see that, they become conservative as well, and cut...

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How Would You Run a Rating Agency?

Rating agencies grew up rating corporate credit risk.  The nice thing about corporate credit risk is the failures happen at least every seven years.  There was a sideline on municipal credit risk, but since munis...

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On the S&P Downgrade

So S&P downgraded the US.  Big deal.  It should have happened long ago, and many other sovereigns deserve to be downgraded as well.  Now if you want my summary views, positive and negative one the rating...

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De Minimus Laws, Redux

I repost this to indicate that Maryland is a de minimus state.  Thank you, State of Maryland, for your prompt response, unlike Arkansas. I find it interesting that only two states, Texas and Arkansas, are file on the first...

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Take Prudent Risk

This post is for average 401(k) investors.  I’m going to let you in on a secret that is not so secret, but does not get talked about much.  It’s a simple idea as well, and would be common sense, if sense...

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On Bond Management

After the recent piece Waters Uncharted, I received this comment:Why do you have a large portion of your fixed income portfolio allocated to foreign bonds?Are you afraid of a large devaluation in the U.S. dollar?It seems like...

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The Rules, Part XXIII

A Ponzi scheme needs an ever-increasing flow of money to survive.  Same for a market bubble.  When the flow’s growth begins to slow, the bubble will wobble.  When it stops, it will pop.  When it goes...

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Waters Uncharted

I don’t know.  You don’t know.  He doesn’t know. We don’t know. You all don’t know, and all of y’all don’t know either. They don’t know. Conjugation complete. No...

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