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Author: David Merkel

The Rules, Part XXII

Rapid money supply growth with no consumer price inflation can only really occur within the confines of an asset price bubble, or else, where does the money go?  Interest rates are low at such a time because of the incredible...

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How to Make More Returns on REITs

Before I start this evening, I want to offer corrections to my last piece on REITs.  Sorry, data glitch, and the results are a little different but the conclusions are unchanged. Here is the correct regression for Mortgage...

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Odd Note on REIT Yields

When I think about REITs, I think about their asset-liability structure.  With equity REITs, they own buildings where rents adjust annually, within limits.  They borrow using mortgages with 10-year terms.  Most of their bond...

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Book Review: Interest Rate Markets

I was surprised by this book.  There is very little math in this book, which would make it a popular book for giving someone an introduction the bond markets. It covers all of the non-credit, non-mortgage markets.  It will not...

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The Rules, Part XXI

Before I start this evening, I have a request for readers, and a comment for new readers.  (Note: if you are reading this anywhere but directly at my blog, please realize that you have to come to my blog for me to hear what you...

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How AIG Could Achieve Insurance Greatness

It seems that I can’t escape AIG anymore.  I asked my kids (who are still at home) today, “Of all the jobs I had, where did I get treated the worst?”  The oldest answered “AIG.”  He was born shortly after I left AIG in 1992. I...

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Post 1500, Post Launch

Every 100 posts, I take a step back and try to think about where we have been over the last five months.  The investment world has been bullish, favoring stocks and commodities, and not bonds.  Money market rates have been...

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Book Review: Debunkery

  Ken Fisher and Lara Hoffmans write well.  This book is accurate (with a few quibbles), and succinct.  I know these topics well; it took me less than three hours to read it. There are many half-truths that travel around Wall...

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