1) It seems that the US Government is determined to dilute its creditworthiness, and extend a large amount of credit to Fannie and Freddie. My view is that it will not lower yields for Fannie and Freddie as much as...
Read MoreI was recently asked where to look for how to understand quantitative investing, fixed income, etc. Let me try to explain. I have reviewed in the past Investing by the Numbers (Frank J. Fabozzi Series). This is a...
Read MoreWith markets, it doesn’t matter what people say. What matters is what they rely upon. Face it, people have opinions, and when asked only the most cautious or prudent won’t give an answer. Talk is cheap....
Read MoreI finished the first phase of a project today. But first let me tell you a story. It was 1990, and the Society of Actuaries Investment Section was holding a conference. It was a great conference; I still have...
Read MoreIt does not matter how you measure it, the US Treasury yield curve is at its steepest level ever. Away from that, the value for expected five-year inflation, five years from now is at its highest level ever, excluding the...
Read MoreI have often thought that international macroeconomics boils down to looking at all of the big nations that have some degree of economic flexibility, and are willing to make non-economic decisions for political purposes. ...
Read MoreI never thought the deal where Sam Zell bought Tribune was fair, because it relied on the savings of workers in their ESOP [employee stock ownership plan]. Here is what I wrote in the past: Your Money or Your Job! (Or...
Read MoreDear David, Quick question in case you find yourself with time to spare on your blog (ha!! ) : You have a large family. What do you teach your children? How do you prepare them using the economic back drop? What are the...
Read MoreBefore I start, I would like to toss out the idea of an Aleph Blog Lunch to be hosted sometime in January 2010 @ 1PM, somewhere between DC and Baltimore. Everyone pays for their own lunch, but I would bring along the...
Read MoreSome people are hard to buy gifts for. With books, there is often a trade-off between books that say a lot, and those that people are willing to read. One book that I think hits the sweet spot is 100 Minds That Made...
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