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Author: Jeff Pietsch

Delta Band & GE

This is a followup to Friday’s optimism about the % change band. I refined the concept a bit and here are the results for GE… a system I call the Delta Band. The performance metrics for TLT are almost identical and...

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The Final Problem

“The Final Problem” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Final_Problem is a Sherlock Holmes story that contains interesting references to modern game theory. Holmes- the legendary detective- is on a mission to foil an...

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Bond Mania

Caution paid off today as we have a slew of bad news from Europe. The short term trend turned down and internals continue to weaken. If we get a mid week AAPL rally next week, there may be short opportunity by the end of next...

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Simple S/R signal for SPY

OK, here’s today’s teaser for Mosaic aficionados. This is yesterday’s % change chart, only close up. I’ve laid an S/R band on top of the chart and we see clearly defined reversal thresholds at +/- 1.5%...

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Caution

Thursday of July option expiration historically had a bullish lean and it played out today. We had traveled a long distance in a very short period of time. After today the stats start to weaken, especially next Monday. The trend...

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SPY vs Mosaic FLUX

This is a closer look at the difference in daily % price gain or loss for SPY versus Mosaic and it gives a picture of how the dynamic portfolio controls volatility. This chart only extends over the last year and, as you might...

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Bad Earning Priced In?

The downward revisions this quarter seemed to be priced in ahead of earnings. INTC and HON had both dropped 10+% before earnings and are rallying after earnings on inline earning per share or less bad guidance. QCOM and IBM are...

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Market Neutral Conundrum

Here’s something you don’t see everyday…bonds and equities are both positive. This is a little real time tool that I created in TC2000 to monitor what’s going on with Mosaic’s market neutral skew....

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Defensives Leading

In the last 10 days, we are down 8 and up 2. Ben Bernanke had nothing new to say and it caused a sharp selloff in the early morning, but the buyers stepped up again and closed us near the high. Bond reversed and closed near the...

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