TLT versus TBT
 My recent posts on TLT and TBT have elicited a number of comments and queries about the relative attractiveness of either ETF as a trading vehicle and in response here are a few considerations: In any technical...
Read MoreAuthor: Jeff Pietsch
Getting Ready for More Earnings
We had a very high level of nervousness all week as we reacted to the struggles in Europe and the political battle over the debt ceiling. After four straight weak closes the market put in a decent finish on Friday afternoon of...
Read MoreNuances of the XLF / TBT Pair
Following up on yesterday’s XLF / TBT pair trade, here’s a few more trade descriptors to help understand the setup. First of all its important to understand that this is a correlated pair, since TBT is the 2x...
Read More07.15.11 – Ruler Flat Internals as VIX Reels In
Internals are net positive, but really not going anywhere fast. More positively, an early morning VIX spike to just under 22 is reeling in. On the other hand, I am concerned that a second test of the 21-dma today...
Read MoreBook Review: Modeling Trading System Performance
Recently I had the opportunity to read the book “Modeling Trading System Performance” from Howard B. Bandy. The book is covering topics such as Monte Carlo Simulation, Position Sizing, Risk Management and Statistics....
Read MoreXLF / TBT Pair Trade
Here’s a tangential approach to trading TLT using the pair dynamics of XLF and TBT (the double short TLT ETF). The pair has a bit of beta differential but the 14 day average excursion makes it a swing trader’s...
Read MorePoof goes the QE3 rally and Google
After Bernanke hinted that QE3 was much further away and the debt ceiling debate deteriorated into a circus act, the market closed weak again from a good open. Are the “smart money” selling the...
Read More07.14.11 – SPY Breaks 50% Fibonnaci
The S&P500 has broken its 50% retrace Fibonacci level of roughly SPY $131 after a down trend day off of an R1 reject. I know that sounds like a technical mish mash. Bottom line, internals are weak and weakening, and the VIX...
Read MoreSPX/OEX Option Spread
Here’s a link to a great idea from the latest issue of Futures magazine (www.futuresmag.com). Regular readers know I cull some nice nuggets out of these pages (subscriptions are FREE) and this month features an...
Read MoreBudget Crapshoot
For a second straight day, the market closed poorly despite optimism over the possibility of another round of quantitative easing. In my view, the rising inflation figures, a meaningfully deteriorating economy, and the...
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