Author: Trading University

If we see a monthly reversal in USDJPY I’m guessing it could be a game changer in that it would spell a stronger U.S. Dollar without a flight to quality behind it. “A flight to quality” being defined as an impulse price movement...

EURUSD The Euro reversed the course of its monthly trend in November to lower against the Greenback in sympathy with higher U.S. long-term rates – see bonds page 8– but is still currently above the 50% retracement of the 5-month...

Much has been written about the so called “risk trade” where asset class markets – carry currency pairs included – rally steadily while the U.S. dollar goes down, and then fall sharply while the U.S. dollar corrects violently...

As we enter the U.S. holiday season the world’s most heavily traded currencies appear to be at a crossroad with all three at monthly structure.  In Figure 1 we see the Weekly U.S. Dollar index chart, with price holding right at...

It is essential that you understand market movement from an investors standpoint first, and that you differenciate fact based analysis from opinions. There is an old industry joke which goes: “How do you make a small fortune...

There is no doubt about it that in a modern society the amount of consumers, savers and investors, i.e.: people, are the most important component of the global business cycle. One tool for capturing this data is the population...

I was talking to a friend who overseas quite a bit of customer money and when the topic of the coming quantitative easing — QE II — came up I said: “the last time they did it, it worked.  Asset class markets stabilized and then...

With rallies in global stock markets, and now a blowout quarter for Ford Motor Company is the tide finally turning for U.S. Treasuries and long-term U.S. interest rates?    And if  U.S. rates do uptick, would it spell a bottom...

Relationships change, behavior does not; which is why we teach how to spot set-ups and signals in individual markets, and don’t dwell on parallel analysis between markets.  We would never want to rely on a market relationship in...

If the U.S. Treasury Bond market finally tops out it will likely mean longer-term rates have bottomed over the near term.  As Treasury prices rallied sharply over the last 6-months U.S. interest rates ground lower and the...